Will Donald Trump Win Florida? Poll Shows GOP Nominee Is Gaining Ground

The campaign for Republican nominee Donald Trump finally got some good news Wednesday. After a fair number of polls showed him behind in key swing states, a Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. poll found he was leading Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points in Florida.

The survey found the GOP nominee garnered 45 percent support in the Sunshine State to Clinton's 43 percent. But the perhaps even better result for Trump was that he also led among independent voters.

In a four-way race among independents, his lead jumped to seven points — 44 percent to her 37 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson took 9 percent support, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein earned 5 percent.

"This race may come down to the independent vote. Right now, they tilt for Trump," pollster J. Ann Selzer told Bloomberg, adding that in 2012, Florida's independents supported President Barack Obama more than GOP challenger Mitt Romney.

The Bloomberg survey featured responses from 953 likely voters in Florida and had a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

The findings in the Bloomberg poll were a departure from other recent surveys in Florida, most of which have found Clinton ahead of Trump. A SurveyUSA poll conducted during nearly the same period as the Bloomberg survey found Clinton was up 3 points. The Real Clear Politics average of polls, which included the Bloomberg survey, had Clinton up by 1.6 percentage points in a four-way race that included Johnson and Stein.

The polls-only election forecast from data-driven website FiveThirtyEight, which also included the new Bloomberg poll, gave her Wednesday a 70.5 percent chance of winning Florida. That represented a slight dip from Tuesday, when it gave Clinton about a 74 percent chance of taking the Sunshine State's 29 electoral votes.

Trump just wrapped up an all-out blitz on Florida, in which he held five rallies in three days. Clinton, meanwhile, held a rally in the state Wednesday.