Are Iranian Nuclear Revelations Rhetoric Or Cause For Alarm?
Iran announced that it will unveil 50 new achievements on April 9, which is its nuclear technology day. The question then becomes, are they honestly revealing new technology, or is this just another burst of rhetoric from the regime that has a history of talking up their advancements and not following through. Before this can be written off as false, there is a genuine possibility that there could be some truth to it.
As the 2015 nuclear deal continues to fall apart, Iran has made it known, they will be moving toward a nuclear weapon at some time very soon. This is evidenced by the failure rates of their normal centrifuges. There was a long stretch where continuous failures caused them to backslide. More recent developments are cause for concern though, as they have managed to prove over the last few years that they've been able to make the jump from 3.5-5% uranium enrichment to 20%.
A nuclear-armed Iran is not something that very many people in this world want to see unless, of course, you're Russia. Publicly, Russia will lash back at anyone that points out that they have been helping the Iranians with their nuclear program, when the intelligence community is well aware of the fact that Russian scientists have been helping the Iranians behind the scenes.
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A report by the Jerusalem Post points out that David Albright, with the Institute for Science and International Security, has said that Iran's lack of ability to focus on one particular type of centrifuge has led to inefficiency. And as he puts it, it lends credence to the image of their nuclear program being incoherent. That doesn't mean it can be ignored, though, because the Iranians have managed to move forward in leaps and bounds, including developing underground testing facilities and an undisclosed number of new nuclear sites, which were mentioned by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in September.
While it was once thought that Iran was many many years away from a successful nuclear weapon, the tide has changed, and it is now widely agreed upon in the military and intelligence communities that they are just 6 to 10 months out from a functioning nuclear weapon as they stockpile enriched uranium. This gives the rest of the world a cause for concern.
Most governments want to remain neutral in the public eye, and do not want to cause any fear or panic. But the time has come when the world is most likely going to have to face a nuclear-armed Iran. Agencies and defensive plans are already in place; however, these are not public knowledge.
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