Can The Mets Win The World Series? Yankees, Astros Have Worse Chance For 2022 Championship
The New York Mets have one of their best teams in franchise history. The club that is often mocked for its inability to win titles now has as good of a chance as anyone to become World Series champions.
With 50 games left in the 2022 MLB season, FanGraphs gives the Mets a 17.1% chance to win the World Series. That puts the Mets ahead of the Houston Astros (15.9%) and New York Yankees (10.5%), both of which have better World Series betting odds at online sportsbooks.
The Los Angeles Dodgers (17.4%) are barely ahead of the Mets, according to FanGraphs. The Mets were given a slightly better chance to win the World Series earlier in the week, and they could switch spots any day.
Los Angeles has a five-game lead atop the overall MLB standings. The Dodgers lead baseball in runs per game and ERA. The Mets might not be able to match the Dodgers in various statistical categories, but their potential playoff rotation arguably makes the Mets baseball's most dangerous team in October.
Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer are both healthy for the first time all year. The two starters might be MLB's best pitchers when they are on the mound. Any team will have a difficult time defeating the Mets in a short series when deGrom and Scherzer can potentially make two starts apiece.
In two starts this season, deGrom has surrendered just five baserunners while striking out 18 batters over 10.2 innings. The right-hander pitched to a historic 1.08 in 15 starts last season.
Scherzer hasn't slowed down in his age-38 season. The three-time Cy Young winner has a 1.98 ERA, a 0.90 WHIP and 120 strikeouts in 95.2 innings.
The Dodgers' top starters are dealing with injuries. Clayton Kershaw was just sent to the IL with a back injury that could keep him sidelined for a month. Ace Walker Buehler has been out since June with an elbow injury, raising questions about how effective he'll be in the playoffs.
Los Angeles has all but locked up the NL West title with a 16-game lead on the San Diego Padres.
The Mets have begun to create more separation between themselves and the Atlanta Braves. The defending World Series champions pulled to within 2.5 games of the NL East lead on Aug. 2. New York then took four out of five games against Atlanta and has extended its lead to seven games.
A seven-game winning streak has given the Mets a .652 winning percentage for the season.
The Mets are on pace to win 105 games in the regular season. Maintaining that pace would give New York its second-best mark in franchise history. The 1986 Mets went 108-54 before winning the team's last World Series.
The Mets haven't won more than 97 games since 1988.
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