College Football Bowl Predictions 2018-2019: Las Vegas Betting Odds, Picks Against The Spread
College Football is about to take over the sports calendar with 40 bowl games between FBS teams on the schedule for the next month. Both 2018-2019 College Football Playoff Semifinal favorites are laying double digits, but only two other contests have a betting line of more than 10 points. Twelve games feature a point spread of a field goal or less.
Below are the complete betting odds for every bowl game, as well as predictions against the spread. All point spreads and over/unders are courtesy of OddsShark.
New Mexico Bowl: North Texas (+8.5) vs. Utah State, 67
Utah State will have a new coach on the sidelines with head coach Matt Wells leaving for Texas Tech. North Texas quarterback Mason Fine is eighth in the nation in passing yards. This should be a shootout that could go either way.
Prediction ATS: North Texas
AutoNation Cure Bowl: Tulane (-3.5) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette, 58.8
Louisiana can move the ball, ranking 13th in yards per play. Tulane is just 2-6 when giving up 23 points or more.
Prediction ATS: Louisiana-Lafayette
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl: No.21 Fresno State (-4.5) vs. Arizona State, 53.5
Arizona State wide receiver N'Keal Harry will sit out this game as he prepares for the NFL Draft after recording 73 catches for 1,088 yards this season. Fresno State is 9-4 against the spread and ranks 17th in yards allowed per play.
Prediction ATS: Fresno State
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl: Georgia Southern (-1) vs. Eastern Michigan, 47.5
Georgia Southern is 6-2 against the spread as a favorite. Eastern Michigan reached a bowl game by winning six games in which they allowed 20 points or fewer, but their defense will have problems against Wesley Fields and the country’s No.9 rushing attack.
Prediction ATS: Georgia Southern
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Middle Tennessee (+7) vs. Appalachian State, 50.5
It’s hard to lay a touchdown with Appalachian State now that head coach Scott Satterfield is off to Louisville. Senior quarterback Brent Stockstill might be able to make enough plays in this game to help Middle Tennessee pull off the upset against a team that doesn’t even have a top-100 pass offense.
Prediction ATS: Middle Tennessee
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl: Northern Illinois (+2.5) vs. UAB, 43.5
Only four FBS teams average fewer yards per play than Northern Illinois. UAB is 22nd in opponents’ yards per play. That doesn’t sound like a good recipe for the Huskies.
Prediction ATS: UAB
DXL Frisco Bowl: San Diego State (+3) vs. Ohio, 54
San Diego State is 3-9 against the spread. They ended the regular season with three straight losses and rank 103 spots behind Ohio among the nation’s top scoring teams.
Prediction ATS: Ohio
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl: Marshall (-2.5) vs. South Florida, 55.5
You can't trust a USF team that ended the season on a five-game losing streak while being outscored by an average of 19.4 points per contest.
Prediction ATS: Marshall
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl: FIU (+5.5) vs. Toledo, 68.5
This is a matchup between two pretty good offenses that could come down to the wire. Florida International quarterback James Morgan totaled 18 passing touchdowns and just one interception during a seven-game stretch before the team lost it’s last contest to Marshall.
Prediction ATS: FIU
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Western Michigan (+12) vs. BYU, 48.5
BYU is 4-0 against the spread when favored by double digits. Look for them to rout a Western Michigan team that’s 103rd in points allowed per game.
Prediction ATS: BYU
Jared Birmingham Bowl: Memphis (-5) vs. Wake Forest, 74
Wake Forest will have trouble keeping pace with a Memphis offense that ranks fifth in yards per play. The Demon Deacons are 1-6 when giving up more than 24 points, and all of those losses came by a touchdown or more.
Prediction ATS: Memphis
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl: Houston (+3) vs. Army, 67
After holding Navy to 10 points, Army has surrendered 22 points or less to seven of their last eight opponents. Before that streak began, the team limited Oklahoma and Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray to 21 points in regulation. Houston’s usually high-powered offense could look like a shell of itself with backup quarterback Clayton Tune under center.
Prediction ATS: Army
Dollar General Bowl: Buffalo (-2.5) vs. Troy, 52.5
Buffalo ended the season with two losses in three games against teams headed for a bowl game. Their struggles could continue against a defense that hasn’t given up more than 22 points since September and held Nebraska to 19 points earlier this year.
Prediction ATS: Troy
SoFi Hawaii Bowl: Louisiana Tech (+1) vs. Hawaii, 60
Maybe Louisiana Tech’s 29th-ranked pass defense will be able to somewhat contain a one-dimensional Hawaii offense. The Rainbow Warriors are winless against the spread in five games as favorites, and only four teams have given up more yards per play.
Prediction ATS: Louisiana Tech
SERVPRO First Responder Bowl: Boston College (+3) vs. No.25 Boise State, 55
Boston College played poorly down the stretch when facing the toughest part of their schedule, losing three straight games by 42 total points. It’s hard to have any confidence in the Golden Eagles against a ranked Boise State team that has one loss in the last two months.
Prediction ATS: Boise State
Quick Lane Bowl: Minnesota (+4) vs. Georgia Tech, 60.5
Minnesota is 118th in the nation, giving up 5.2 yards per carry. That won’t bode well for them against Georgia Tech’s triple option, which has produced the country’s No.1 rushing attack.
Prediction ATS: Georgia Tech
Cheez-It Bowl: California (PK) vs. TCU, 40.5
The only time California scored more than 14 points in their last five games was against Colorado, who ranks 104th in opponents' yards per play. The Bears might be lucky to score two touchdowns against a TCU defense that’s 36th in opponents’ yards per play.
Prediction ATS: TCU
Walk-On's Independence Bowl: Temple (-3.5) vs. Duke, 54.5
Duke went 4-0 against non-conference opponents. Don’t be surprised if potential first-round pick Daniel Jones leads the Blue Devils to an upset.
Prediction ATS: Duke
New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Miami (-4) vs. Wisconsin, 47
There won’t be a lot of touchdowns in this one. Taking the points might be your best bet in a game that could be decided by a field goal either way. Both teams are in the top 10 in opponents’ yards per play. Miami has scored more than 24 points just once in their last six games.
Prediction ATS: Wisconsin
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl: Baylor (+3.5) vs. Vanderbilt, 55
Baylor will miss leading receiver Jalen Hurd, who won’t play because of a knee injury. Even with Hurd in the lineup, Baylor lost four of their last six games while averaging 13.5 points in those defeats.
Prediction ATS: Vanderbilt
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Purdue (+3.5) vs. Auburn, 54.5
Purdue is 3-0 against the spread as an underdog. They’ve got a real chance to win outright against a team that averages 108 fewer passing yards per game.
Prediction ATS: Purdue
Camping World Bowl: No.16 West Virginia (-1.5) vs. No.20 Syracuse, 68.5
Syracuse blew out West Virginia and their future NFL quarterback when they met in the Pinstripe Bowl six years ago. This game should be much closer, but don’t be surprised if the Orange beat the Mountaineers as underdogs, once again. Syracuse nearly upset Clemson earlier this season.
Prediction ATS: Syracuse
Valero Alamo Bowl: No.24 Iowa State (+3.5) vs. No.13 Washington State, 54.5
Washington State quarterback Gardner Minshew could put up big numbers against Iowa State, which ranks 77th in opponents’ passer rating. The Cougars are 7-2 against the spread as favorites.
Prediction ATS: Washington State
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: No. 10 Florida (+7.5) vs. No. 7 Michigan, 50.5
Michigan lost to Ohio State and Notre Dame, but they were dominant against teams that weren’t national title contenders. Florida could suffer the same fate as a team like Penn State, who ranks in the top 15 and lost to the Wolverines by two touchdowns. The Gators’ 77th ranked pass offense will be completely shut down by Michigan’s No.2 pass defense.
Prediction ATS: Michigan
Belk Bowl: South Carolina (-4) vs. Virginia, 54.5
It’s been well over two months since South Carolina beat a team that will play in a bowl game. Virginia’s defense ranks 14th in opponents’ passer rating and gives them a chance to defeat a South Carolina team that failed to impress down the stretch.
Prediction ATS: Virginia
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl: Arkansas State (-1.5) vs. Nevada, 60.5
Arkansas State ended the regular season on a roll with four straight wins while allowing no more than 17 points in any of those games. They could find a decent amount of success on offense against Nevada, who ranks 98th in opponents’ yards per play.
Prediction ATS: Arkansas State
College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic: No. 2 Clemson (-11.5) vs. No. 3 Notre Dame, 55
The Fighting Irish deserve to be in the playoffs, but they didn’t face an elite team on their schedule. We’ve seen how good Clemson is over the last few years, and they only had one close call all year. Lay the points with the perennial national title contenders.
Prediction ATS: Clemson
College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl: No. 1 Alabama (+14) vs. No. 4 Oklahoma, 81
This game might be closer than many expect. There isn’t a defense in the nation, not even Alabama, that can shut down Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray and Oklahoma’s offensive attack. Tua Tagovailoa will put up big numbers against a Sooners’ defense that’s given up at least 40 points on five occasions in what should be a competitive high-scoring affair.
Prediction ATS: Oklahoma
Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman: Cincinnati (-5) vs. Virginia Tech, 53.5
The Bearcats totaled just 30 points when they were tested in the second half of their schedule against Temple and UCF. They could have trouble against a team that finished the season strong and ranks 30th in yards per play allowed.
Prediction ATS: Virginia Tech
Hyundai Sun Bowl: Stanford (+6.5) vs. Pittsburgh, 52
Stanford has an explosive offense with quarterback K.J. Costello, while Pittsburgh is among the best rushing teams in the nation. If the Cardinal is able to jump out to an early lead, the Panthers probably won’t be able to mount any type of comeback.
Prediction ATS: Stanford
Redbox Bowl: Michigan State (+3) vs. Oregon, 48
The Spartans only mustered up 14 points against Rutgers in their last game. The team hasn’t scored more than two touchdowns in their last three games. That makes it difficult to go with Michigan State against a quarterback that could be taken near the top of the 2019 NFL Draft.
Prediction ATS: Oregon
AutoZone Liberty Bowl: No.23 Missouri (-8) vs. Oklahoma State, 74
Even as they struggled in the Big 12, Oklahoma State was still able to put up plenty of points in most of their losses. Quarterback Taylor Cornelius threw at least four touchdown passes four times in the regular season, and he can keep the Cowboys in this game for most of the way.
Prediction ATS: Oklahoma State
San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl: No.22 Northwestern (+7) vs. No.17 Utah, 46
Northwestern was only defeated by Ohio State and Notre Dame after September. They exceeded expectations all season long, losing against the spread just once in seven games as an underdog.
Prediction ATS: Northwestern
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl: NC State (+5) vs. No.19 Texas A&M, 58.5
Before finishing the season with four wins in five games, NC State lost consecutive games to ranked teams. Texas A&M is in the same class as the Syracuse team that defeated the Wolfpack by double digits, and the Aggies were even competitive against the Clemson team that blew out NC State by 34 points.
Prediction ATS: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl: No.18 Mississippi State (-6.5) vs. Iowa, 44.5
Iowa will miss All-American tight end Noah Fant, who has declared for the NFL Draft and won’t play against Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 7-2 against the spread as favorites. They’ve won four of their last five games by at least two touchdowns, and their one loss during that stretch came against Alabama.
Prediction ATS: Mississippi State
VRBO Citrus Bowl: No.14 Kentucky (+6.5) vs. No.12 Penn State, 47.5
Before winning their last two games, Kentucky was defeated two weeks in a row by giving up 546 total rushing yards. Penn State running back Miles Sanders could be in for a big day after rushing for 1,223 yards in the regular season.
Prediction ATS: Penn State
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl: No. 11 LSU (-7.5) vs. No. 8 UCF, 55.5
It’s time for UCF to prove that they actually can compete with the best teams in the country. Maybe the Knights haven’t faced any national title contenders, but there’s certainly something to be said for going undefeated over a two-year span. Look for them to keep this within a score and possibly win outright behind the No.6 scoring offense.
Prediction ATS: UCF
Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual: No.9 Washington (+6.5) vs. No.6 Ohio State, 58
Ohio State was rightfully kept out of the playoffs, but they certainly are talented enough to be considered among the sport’s four best teams. Look for the Buckeyes to make a statement in Urban Meyer’s final game on the sidelines.
Prediction ATS: Ohio State
Allstate Sugar Bowl: No.15 Texas (+11.5) vs. No.5 Georgia, 58
This is a lot of points to lay against a team that has a win over Oklahoma and nearly beat West Virginia. This could resemble the Big 12 Championship Game, which saw Texas’ chances of winning end only in the final minutes when they allowed a late touchdown.
Prediction ATS: Texas
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