Election 2020 Poll Shows Trump Will Win Reelection, 22% Of Democrats Vote For POTUS
KEY POINTS
- Rasmussen Reports claims Trump will beat Sanders head-to-head in November
- It said 2 in 10 Democrats will vote for Trump instead of Sanders
- It also shows Trump winning among minorities other than blacks
Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-VT, might be the clear frontrunner (for now) in the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination, but his hard-left socialist views seem to be goading some Democrats into voting for president Donald Trump, instead.
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll taken after Sanders' explosive remarks praising the late communist dictator of Cuba, Fidel Castro, for boosting literacy in his country, sees Trump with 50% of the vote against Sanders' 43%. Seven percent were undecided.
Rasmussen noted it was only two weeks ago when one of its polls found 51% of all voters considered it likely any of the announced Democratic candidates can defeat Trump on November 3.
Rasmussen, however, has a reputation as being Trump-leaning. According to political website FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings, Rasmussen has a mean-reverted Republican bias of 1.5 points.
Trump has often cited Rasmussen polls to prove his popularity when most other polling organizations were saying otherwise. Rasmussen predicted Republicans would win the House in the 2018 midterms when, in fact, Democrats won the House by a landslide.
In this new Rasmussen poll, Trump won 84% of the Republican vote and led 49% to 39% among Independents. Sanders was favored by 75% of Democrats. Distressingly for Sanders and because of his extreme left-wing views, one-in-four Democratic voters (22%) opted for Trump, instead.
Political analysts point out moderate Democrats, including many of Sanders’ opponents for the presidential nomination, contend Sanders socialist views remain far too radical for him to win against Trump. Republicans refer to Sanders as the ideal Trump foe since he embodies what they see as everything that's wrong with Democrats.
They also say Sanders will be the easiest to beat among the top five contenders, which also include former vice president Joe Biden; former mayor Pete Buttigieg; Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA; and former mayor Mike Bloomberg.
In the Rasmussen poll, Trump did well among demographics that traditionally support him. Trump won among whites 54% to 39% and a double-digit lead over Sanders among men.
Surprisingly, Trump led among voters in all age groups and also led Sanders 48% to 44% among other minority voters. Among voters with a Very Unfavorable view of socialism, 88% chose Trump.
As expected, Sanders won over 60% of black voters. The poll also shows 74% of voters that share a Very Favorable opinion of socialism prefer Sanders. Sanders and Trump are tied among women voters, which was another surprise. Rasmussen also claims support has fallen for Medicare for all, Sanders' signature issue.
Its latest national telephone and online survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted February 24 to 25. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points.
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