FX Summary - Feb 29
The beleaguered dollar found no reprieve against the majors, with the accelerated selling pushing the currency to fresh all-time lows against the euro, Swiss franc, 24-year lows versus the Aussie and 3-year lows versus the yen. Underscoring the greenback's weakness has been the continued deterioration in US economic reports, raising fears of an imminent recession and reaffirming the Fed's need for further aggressive monetary policy easing over the coming months.
The reports today included January PCE, consumption, personal income, February Chicago PMI and the University of Michigan sentiment survey.
Inflation remains firm as the January PCE price index edged higher with the monthly figure ticking up to 0.4% from 0.2% and 3.7% versus 3.5% a year earlier. The core PCE price index firmed to 0.3% m/m and 2.2% y/y.
Personal consumption was flat in January and personal income eased to 0.3%, down from 0.5%. Boding poorly for the economy and the greenback was a dismal February Chicago PMI report, which fell sharply to 44.5, far greater than the expected decline to 49.7 from 51.5 from January - beneath the key 50-level. However, the University of Michigan sentiment survey in February fell by slightly less than estimates, declining to 70.8 instead of forecasts for a fall to 70 from 78.4 a month earlier.