Germany's Scholz Heads To India To Tend A New Friendship

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz arrives in India on Saturday for his fourth meeting with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, reflecting Delhi's growing importance to Western powers seeking backing for their opposition to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

During the trip, Scholz will push hard for a $5.2 billion deal to sell India six conventional submarines, though this latest attempt by a Western military manufacturing power to wean New Delhi away from its dependence on Russia for military hardware is not expected to yield an immediate result.

Germany's pivot to India is particularly stark given the central role its close economic ties to China, the main buyer of German machine tools, and Russia, its energy supplier, played in German prosperity over the past 15 years.

While one of the stated goals of the lightning trip is to improve economic ties, officials are mindful of the need to press what will soon be the world's most populous country into opposing Russia's invasion, even if a severing of India's economic ties with Moscow is not on the table.

"Every region has its own view," a German official said. "Every region has its own way of doing diplomacy. In our own talks we are agreed who is the aggressor and who it he victim."

OIL PURCHASES

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government has not openly criticised Moscow for the invasion and instead called for dialogue and diplomacy to end the war. India has also sharply raised purchases of oil from Russia, its biggest supplier of defence hardware, although prices have fallen.

"They pay less, the Indians like that. Russia gets less, and we like that," said a government official, saying it was impossible to expect other countries to apply sanctions like the European Union and the United States.

Many in the Global South see Western complaints about the invasion as hypocrisy given their long history of military interventions around the world, and fear disrupted supply chains and inflation will cause hunger and famine.

Scholz last met Modi at the G7 summit of leading rich industrial nations, to which he invited the Indian Prime Minister as part of outreach efforts that have become all the more urgent as concerns grow that China may step up its so far lukewarm political support for Russia.

While China is one of Germany's most important trading partners, the invasion brought home to many in Germany's business community the lack of diversification in the supply chains on which they rely, lending new urgency to efforts to boost exposure to a huge potential market.

Some 1,800 German companies are present in India, and Scholz will be travelling with a business delegation in a hope of growing that number, with a focus on investment in green technology.

Despite the interest, regulation and trade barriers make India a tough market for German companies to crack, as is shown by the absence of any of Germany's major carmakers from the accompanying delegation.