Gold Falls to Multi-Month Lows, Correction May Last Longer Says Marc Faber

Gold Investing prices bounced in London on Monday morning, trading unchanged from Friday's 8-week closing low of $1361 per ounce as European stock markets and commodity prices also held flat.

With New York closed for Martin Luther King Day, US Treasury bonds were unchanged but the Dollar whipped around $1.33 to the Euro.

Following Friday's 0.5% rise in China's banking reserve ratio - the seventh rise aimed at stemming credit inflation in the last 12 months - Shanghai's stock market today dropped more than 3% after the local municipal government said it will soon launch a property tax.

China's [banking reserve] move is perceived that the country is capable of slowing down the level of inflation, said Frank McGhee, head precious metals trader at Integrated Brokerage Services, late Friday.

That takes some of the run of gold and industrial metals such as silver, platinum and palladium.

Silver Bullion slipped further on Monday, dropping 1.5% from Friday's 7-week closing low.

Eurozone citizens looking to start Gold Investing briefly saw the price rise 0.8% to €33,000 per kilo after Madrid today cancelled two new Spanish debt auctions scheduled for Jan., offering the bonds through a group of banks instead and at higher interest rates.

Eurozone finance ministers will meet this evening in Brussels to discuss extending the 17-nation currency region's new cross-border stabilization fund bond sales.

Investors remain preoccupied by the threat of further monetary tightening in China, writes Marc Ground at Standard Bank in London today.

This is weighing on precious metal prices, encouraged further by a stronger Dollar off the back of lingering Eurozone debt concerns as Greece's credit rating is reduced to junk by Fitch - confirming similar moves by Moody's and S&P.

Gold Investing via the SPDR Gold Trust fell 0.5% on Friday according to the fund's bullion holdings, which extended this month's 1% drop to reach the lowest levels since May 2010 at 1259 tonnes.

Institutional speculators also began slashing their betting on the US Gold Futures and options market ahead of Friday's China news, too. In the week-ending last Tuesday night, so-called Large Speculators - as a group - cut their bullish betting by 6% according to US regulator the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

From the recent peak in Oct., these professional speculators cut the number of bullish Gold Investing contracts they held by almost a quarter. Their net long position (of bullish minus bearish bets) fell last week to a 6-month low equivalent to 628 tonnes, and as a percentage of all open contracts, it dropped to a two-year low of 25%.

On the other side of the trade, in contrast, commercial gold-industry players continued cutting their net short position last week, taking it more than one-fifth below Oct.'s record high to the lowest level since July 2010.

The Dollar got oversold [in late 2010] and we may see a rebound, said Swiss money-manager and Thai-based investment author Marc Faber to CNBC-TV18 in India last week.

[But] the US Dollar and the Euro are weak currencies. I would rather bet on a strong currency like gold.

Gold, however, has also begun to correct and this correction may last longer.

The current international currency system is the product of the past, says Chinese president Hu Jintao - who begins a state visit to the US on Tuesday - in written answers prepared for the Wall Street Journal and Washington Post this weekend.

The monetary policy of the United States has a major impact on global liquidity and capital flows and therefore, the liquidity of the US Dollar should be kept at a reasonable and stable level.

Here in London on Monday, the Bank of England should hold its nerve and ignore calls to raise interest rates said consultant Ernst & Young's Item Club.

If the Bank has been pushed into a rate rise this year, it will find itself with a depressed economy, a low rate of inflation below target, and of course having to cut interest rates, reckons the Item Club's chief economic advisor Peter Spencer.

Tasked with keeping annual consumer-price inflation within one percentage point of 2.0%, the Bank of England saw the CPI rise by more 3.0% throughout 2010, but kept its key lending rate unchanged at an historic low of 0.5%.

The Gold Price in Sterling today touched a new 8-week low at £853 per ounce, some 25% higher from this time last year.

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