'Hidden Trump Voters' May Hold Key To Election, Pollster Says

The head of a polling agency that predicted Donald Trump’s 2016 win says a hidden vote likely will carry the president back to the White House for a second term.

Robert Cahaly, chief pollster for the Trafalgar Group, told Fox News his agency’s polls this cycle reflect the same trends that put it at odds with other polling agencies in 2016 when polling indicated Hillary Clinton would defeat Trump.

The Real Clear Politics average of recent polls gives Democrat Joe Biden a 7.6-point edge over Trump with the presidential election just 13 days away. Swing state polls indicate Biden is ahead by as much as 10 points in some states although the margins are statistically insignificant in others.

“I see the president winning with a minimum [electoral vote count in the] high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is,” Cahaly said Tuesday. A count by 270 to Win indicates Biden will receive 290 electoral votes to 163 for Trump.

Trafalgar shows razor-thin margins in Wisconsin, Michigan and Florida – all coming down in Trump’s favor. Only its Pennsylvania poll gives Biden the edge.

Cahaly predicted Trump will carry Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Georgia.

He said other pollsters are “missing the hidden Trump vote. There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they’re not interested in sharing their opinions readily. ... These people ... are more hesitant to participate in polls. So, if you’re not compensating for this ... you’re not going to get honest answers.”

More than 35 million Americans already have voted either through in-person early voting or by mail-in ballot. Only New Hampshire, Missouri, Mississippi, Delaware, Connecticut and Alabama ban early voting while all states have at least limited absentee balloting.