MLB Home Run Derby 2017 Odds: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Cody Bellinger Among Favorites

The All-Star Break is still a few days away, but some sportsbooks have already created betting odds for the 2017 MLB Home Run Derby. Two hitters stand out as having the best chance to win the competition, but the one that leads all of baseball in home runs isn’t the favorite.

Miami Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton leads all eight contestants with 6/5 odds, putting him ahead of New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge, via Paddy Power. Judge is second with 13/8 odds, even though his 29 home runs easily make him this season’s top power hitter. Los Angeles Dodgers left fielder Cody Bellinger has 9/1 betting odds.

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Stanton hasn’t had a bad year himself, hitting 23 home runs in 82 games. He hasn’t totaled more than 27 homers in a season since 2014, but it’s his performance in the 2016 Home Run Derby that makes him the favorite and the No.1 seed in Monday night’s event. Stanton won last year’s Derby by totaling a record 61 home runs over the length of the competition. His 20 homers in the final round set a record, as did his 17 homers in the semifinals.

Judge doesn’t only lead MLB in home runs—he’s easily been the sport’s best player in the first half of 2017. He also ranks first in on-base percentage, slugging percentage and WAR. He’s the odds-on favorite to win the AL MVP award, and he’s all but guaranteed to take home Rookie of the Year honors.

The other rookie phenom is the third and final contestant with better than 10/1 odds. Bellinger might very well be leading all players in home runs if he started the season in the majors. He’s hit 24 home runs for the Dodgers in just 66 games, helping L.A. become the hottest team in baseball. The 21-year-old blasted 12 home runs between June 10 and June 25.

There isn’t much separation when it comes to the final five contestants. Colorado Rockies outfielder Charlie Blackmon is fourth with 12/1 odds, though his 18 home runs in 350 at-bats give him the worst home run rate of anyone in the field. The two third basemen, Miguel Sano of the Minnesota Twins and Mike Moustakas of the Kansas City Royals, are tied with 14/1 odds.

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Teammates of the two favorites are at the bottom of the list when it comes to betting odds. Miami’s Justin Bour is just four home runs away from tying his career high of 23, and he enters the contest with 18/1 odds. Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez only has 13 home runs, and he’s got 20/1 odds as he gets ready to face Stanton in the first-round bracket.

Sanchez missed a month of the season, but he arguably has more power than anyone other than Judge or Stanton. He made history a year ago by hitting 20 home runs in just 53 games as a rookie, and he was second in the voting for the Rookie of the Year award, even though he only played a third of the season.