New York Giants vs. New England Patriots 2019: Prediction Against The Spread, Odds For Thursday Night
The New England Patriots are the best team in football. The New York Giants don’t have much outside of a few exciting young offensive players. That means we’re likely in for a very one-sided game when the two teams meet on “Thursday Night Football” in Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season.
The season of unusually high point spreads continues with the defending champions laying 17 points at home to the Giants, according to the early betting line at OddsShark. Thursday’s over/under is 44.
New England just covered a two-touchdown spread when they beat the Washington Redskins 33-7 on the road Sunday. New York was beaten by three scores at home, losing 28-10 to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 5.
The Patriots take care of business against bad teams. New England beat both the Pittsburgh Steelers and Miami Dolphins by at least 30 points. The New York Jets managed to lose in Foxborough by only 16 points because safety Jamal Adams returned an interception for a touchdown when Tom Brady was on the bench in garbage time.
Last season, the Patriots went 5-0 at Gillette Stadium against teams that didn’t make the playoffs. All of those wins came by at least 12 points.
The Giants have struggled mightily against good teams. New York began the year with an 18-point loss to the Dallas Cowboys and a 14-point loss to the Buffalo Bills. Daniel Jones has unquestionably injected life into the offense, but his two victories came against teams that are currently below .500.
Case Keenum is the only opposing starting quarterback that failed to post a triple-digit passer rating against the Giants. New York has surrendered more yards than any NFC team.
Rookie quarterbacks historically play very poorly against Bill Belichick’s teams. Jones won’t be any different.
Jones was sacked four times Sunday by Minnesota’s defense. He completed 21 of 38 passes for just 182 yards, a touchdown and an interception. There’s little reason to believe the Duke grad will have more success when taking on the No.1 defense in the NFL.
New England ranks first in both yards and points allowed per game. The Patriots easily have the top passing defense, surrendering an average of 160.4 yards through the air. Opposing quarterbacks have an awful 44.0 passer rating. New England has 11 interceptions and no passing touchdowns allowed.
There’s a chance that Saquon Barkley will suit up after missing two games with a high ankle sprain. That might be the only way New York can even keep this contest somewhat close. With backup running back Wayne Gallman suffering a concussion in Week 5, the Giants were held to 62 rushing yards on 20 attempts.
The Giants have a better history against the Brady-Belichick Patriots than anyone. New York has beaten New England in two Super Bowls. Their last three regular-season meetings have all been decided by four points or fewer.
This is a much different Giants’ team. New York used to play New England close by relying on a dominant defense. In 2019, the Giants have a terrible defense.
The Patriots might have their best team since they went undefeated in 2007. Thursday will be another blowout victory for New England.
Prediction: New England over New York, 34-13
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