NFL 2022 Win Totals: Over/Under Predictions, Odds For All 32 Teams

The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the highest-projected win totals for the 2022 NFL season. Six other teams are in double digits, including the Dallas Cowboys and the defending Super Bowl champions.

Here are projected win totals and over/under predictions for every team heading into the 2022 NFL season. All betting odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Arizona Cardinals: 8.5 Wins (-110 Over/-110 Under)

It's easy to forget that Arizona was the NFL's best team through the first half of last season. Kyler Murray has improved every year and only missed three starts since entering the league. The Cardinals are still no worse than an average team, despite the offseason drama.

Prediction: Over

Atlanta Falcons: 4.5 Wins (-120 Over/+100 Under)

In a relatively weak NFC South, the rebuilding Falcons can find a way to go 5-12 after putting together a seven-win campaign in 2021. Marcus Mariota is only a few games under .500 in his career as a starter. Atlanta did a strong job in the draft and the rookies may be a big reason the Falcons win more games than many expect.

Prediction: Over

Baltimore Ravens: 10.5 Wins (+100 Over/-120 Under)

The Ravens are good enough to earn the AFC's No.1 seed. After being devastated by injuries in 2021, Baltimore's defense should be one of the NFL's best. The Ravens are 37-12 with Lamar Jackson under center. John Harbaugh has proven himself as one of the best head coaches in the game.

Prediction: Over

Buffalo Bills: 11.5 Wins (-135 Over/+115 Under)

There might be value on the under after the Bills went 11-6 last season. With games against the Rams, Chiefs, Packers, Vikings and Bengals, Buffalo faces a difficult schedule outside of the division. The Bills' No. 1 ranked defense could take a step back with cornerback Tre'Davious White set to miss several games.

Prediction: Under

Carolina Panthers: 6.5 Wins (+105 Over/-125 Under)

Baker Mayfield has a lot to prove after a tumultuous time in Cleveland. The Panthers finished second in total defense last season. Carolina is unlikely to make the playoffs, but it can surpass New Orleans as the second-best team in the NFC South.

Prediction: Over

Chicago Bears: 5.5 Wins (-145 Over/+125 Under)

The Bears certainly didn't get better in the offseason, following a six-win 2021 campaign. Justin Fields has little help on the offensive line or at wide receiver. Chicago will be in contention for the NFL's worst record.

Prediction: Under

Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5 Wins (-130 Over/+110 Under)

The recent history of teams coming off a Super Bowl loss isn't particularly encouraging. The Bengals went 10-7 last season, taking the league by surprise and going 4-2 against an underachieving AFC North.

Prediction: Under

Cleveland Browns: 8.5 Wins (+135 Over/-160 Under)

Jacoby Brissett is one of the NFL's best backups, and he might be a better quarterback than Baker Mayfield was with a badly injured shoulder last season. The Browns won eight games in 2021, and they still have a talented roster with a top head coach. If Cleveland can tread water until Deshaun Watson returns, the Browns could make the playoffs.

Prediction: Over

Dallas Cowboys: 10.5 Wins (+125 Over/-145 Under)

The Cowboys could be headed for a major step back in 2022. Dallas lost three of its top four wide receivers. Receiver James Washington and offensive tackle Tyron Smith suffered serious preseason injuries. Dallas is highly unlikely to lead the NFL in takeaways for a second straight year.

Prediction: Under

Denver Broncos: 9.5 Wins (-135 Over/+115 Under)

Russell Wilson should turn Denver into a 10-win team. Before missing time with an injury for the first time last season, Wilson averaged 10.9 wins per year. The Broncos are in the NFL's toughest division, but they can take advantage of a last-place schedule.

Prediction: Over

Detroit Lions: 6.5 Wins (-125 Over/+105 Under)

There seems to be too much optimism surrounding the Lions. Detroit can finish with twice as many victories from a season ago and still fall below its win total. Dan Campbell is still an unproven head coach with an 8-20-1 record. The Lions need their offensive line to live up to expectations and for quarterback Jared Goff to have a big year in a division dominated by the Packers and Vikings.

Prediction: Under

Green Bay Packers: 10.5 Wins (-160 Over/+135 Under)

Davante Adams' departure shouldn't stop Green Bay and back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers from going 11-6. Aside from wide receiver, the Packers are above-average at just about every position. Green Bay has won exactly 13 games in three straight seasons.

Prediction: Over

Houston Texans: 4.5 Wins (-120 Over/+100 Under)

The Texans are destined for a last-place finish. Houston didn't upgrade its roster much following two straight four-win seasons.

Prediction: Under

Indianapolis Colts: 9.5 Wins (-160 Over/+135 Under)

The Colts went 9-8 last season in spite of Carson Wentz ranking near the bottom of the league in passing yards per game and completion percentage. Matt Ryan should be a marginal upgrade, at worst, and get Indianapolis back to double-digit wins.

Prediction: Over

Jacksonville Jaguars: 6.5 Wins (+115 Over/-135 Under)

Similar to the Lions, the Jaguars can take a major step forward this year and still win fewer than seven games. Jacksonville has four wins total over the last two seasons. The Jaguars have won six or fewer games in 11 of the last 12 seasons.

Prediction: Under

Kansas City Chiefs: 10.5 Wins (-115 Over/-105 Under)

Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid virtually guarantee the Chiefs more than 10 wins. Mahomes is 50-13 as a starter, and he went 12-5 last year in what was his worst season. Reid should get the most out of his revamped receiving corps. Kansas City have some young cornerbacks looking to prove themselves.

Prediction: Over

Las Vegas Raiders: 8.5 Wins (-115 Over/-105 Under)

The Raiders added some important pieces but are likely to remain at the bottom of the AFC West. Veterans Chandler Jones and Davante Adams should help first-year coach Josh McDaniels get through a tough schedule. But questions on both the offensive line and defense might be too much to overcome.

Prediction: Under

Los Angeles Chargers: 10 Wins (-140 Over/+120 Under)

If the Chiefs and Broncos are both winning at least 10 games, the Chargers will probably be stuck with single-digit victories. As well as Justin Herbert played a season ago, Los Angeles still missed the playoffs. The Chargers defense is already dealing with an injury to cornerback J.C. Jackson, their big free-agent addition, and Khalil Mack is 31 years old.

Prediction: Under

Los Angeles Rams: 10.5 Wins (-110 Over/-110 Under)

The defending Super Bowl champs are one of the NFL's top contenders. Most of the Rams' stars (Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey) are back. The NFC West got weaker when Russell Wilson was traded. Sean McVay has posted a winning record in all five seasons as Los Angeles' head coach.

Prediction: Over

Miami Dolphins: 8.5 Wins (-135 Over/+115 Under)

Miami has won at least nine games in back-to-back seasons, and the 2022 Dolphins' roster is better than it was in 2020 and 2021. With the addition of Tyreek Hill and a few veteran offensive linemen, Tua Tagovailoa is finally in a position to succeed as an NFL quarterback.

Prediction: Over

Minnesota Vikings: 9.5 Wins (-110 Over/+110 Under)

The pieces are in place for Minnesota to have one of the NFL's best offenses. Justin Jefferson leads a top receiving corps. Kirk Cousins has become underrated, posting a passer rating north of 103.0 in three straight seasons. Three of the Vikings' nine losses in 2021 were the result of a last-second field goal.

Prediction: Over

New England Patriots: 8.5 Wins (+115 Over/-105 Under)

The Patriots' roster got worse in the offseason. Mac Jones could take a step back without any elite weapons and questions about the team's offensive coaching. New England has one of the NFL's most difficult schedules, especially to end the season when the Patriots will face seven straight playoff contenders.

Prediction: Under

New Orleans Saints: 8.5 Wins (-130 Over/+110 Under)

Don't underestimate the loss of Sean Payton. The Saints should have a strong defense, but there are too many questions on offense. Jameis Winston has yet to prove that he can be a winning starting quarterback. Relying on Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry coming off injuries, as well as a rookie receiver, could be an issue.

Prediction: Under

New York Giants: 7.5 Wins (+125 Over/-145 Under)

The Giants are tied for the worst record over the last five years, never winning more than six games in a season during that span. Why would New York all of a sudden win eight games? Daniel Jones has 50 career touchdowns and 65 combined interceptions and fumbles. Jones plays behind a shaky offensive line with receivers that are either unproven or multiple years removed from a good season.

Prediction: Under

New York Jets: 5.5 Wins (-145 Over/+125 Under)

The Jets have won fewer than six games in five of the last six seasons. The combination of Joe Flacco and Zach Wilson (when he comes back from a knee injury) might give the Jets the NFL's worst starting quarterback situation. There is an enormous gap between New York and the rest of the AFC East.

Prediction: Under

Philadelphia Eagles: 9.5 Wins (-145 Over/+125 Under)

The Eagles had one of the NFL's best offseasons, so it's not much to ask for Philadelphia to have a one-win improvement from 2021 for a 10-7 record in 2022. Jalen Hurts should be better after improving his completion percentage and passer rating by more than nine points last season. A.J. Brown gives Hurt his first true No. 1 receiver.

Prediction: Over

Pittsburgh Steelers: 7.5 Wins (-105 Over/-115 Under)

Mike Tomlin has never finished with a losing record as Pittsburgh's head coach, and he only needs to go 8-9 for the Steelers to go over their win total. Whether Mitchell Trubisky or Kenny Pickett is under center, the Steelers' quarterback should be improved from Ben Roethlisberger's final season.

Prediction: Over

San Francisco 49ers: 9.5 Wins (-160 Over/+135 Under)

The 49ers should probably be a playoff team, but there isn't any value on the team winning 10 games at -160. While Trey Lance has a high upside, he's also unproven and could be a bust. Ten of San Francisco's 17 games will come against teams in the NFL's two best divisions.

Prediction: Under

Seattle Seahawks: 5.5 Wins (-135 Over/+115 Under)

Seattle's two elite receivers are really the only bright spot on a rebuilding roster. Geno Smith and Drew Lock are a massive step down from Russell Wilson. After going 7-10 a season ago, the Seahawks are going to be worse with another last-place finish.

Prediction: Under

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11.5 Wins (+125 Over/-145 Under)

Who dares count out Tom Brady? Brady last suffered more than five losses in a season 13 years ago. He was the NFL's passing yards and touchdown leader in 2021. Tampa Bay is probably the only playoff team in the NFC South, which the Buccaneers should win convincingly. Expect a more durable and athletic defense in 2022.

Prediction: Over

Tennessee Titans: 9.5 Wins (+135 Over/-160 Under)

At the very least, Tennessee should be flirting with a 10-win season all year. The Titans have won at least nine games in six straight seasons. Veteran Ryan Tannehill should bounce back after a mediocre 2021 season. The departure of A.J. Brown will hurt, but the Titans have enough weapons in Derrick Henry, Robert Woods and Treylon Burks.

Prediction: Over

Washington Commanders: 8.5 Wins (+145 Over/-170 Under)

Washington has failed to win nine games in five straight seasons. Is adding Carson Wentz really going to change that? The Commanders are the very definition of a mediocre team. Without a ton of luck, Washington will win somewhere between six and eight games.

Prediction: Under