NFL Picks 2015: The 3 Best Bets For Week 7

After looking like playoff teams through the first five games of the season, a NFL few teams were blown out in Week 6. But they should bounce back in Week 7, proving that they will be in contention for the rest of the year.

Some of the teams that have been considered to be among the Super Bowl favorites are looking to rebound from surprising losses. The Arizona Cardinals are in control of the NFC West, but they lost by double-digits to the Pittsburgh Steelers with a combination of their second and third-string quarterbacks. The Seattle Seahawks are considered among the most talented teams in the NFL, but their loss last week dropped them to 2-4.

There’s no such thing as a “sure thing” when it comes to gambling, but here are the three best bets for Week 7 of the 2015 NFL season.

Atlanta Falcons (-4.5)

The Falcons are coming off a bad loss to the New Orleans Saints, but they are still one of the best teams in the NFC. They shouldn’t have much trouble in Tennessee against the Titans, who have been one of the NFL’s worst teams in 2015.

The 5-1 Falcons are clearly more than four points better than the 1-4 Titans, but the betting line is only slightly more than a field goal because the game is being played in Tennessee. However, the Titans have essentially no home-field advantage, making Atlanta an easy pick. Tennessee has lost 11 consecutive games as home underdogs, and they are 2-14-1 against the spread in their last 17 home games, via OddsShark.com.

Rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota is banged up with a sprained MCL, and backup Zach Mettenberger is 0-6 as a starter, losing by an average of 17 points per game. Even if Mariota does play, he’s only been able to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Atlanta has scored more points than 29 NFL teams, and they won’t lose the turnover battle 0-3 like they did last week.

New York Giants (-3.5)

The Giants looked awful in their loss on Monday night to the Philadelphia Eagles, and the betting line in their game against the Dallas Cowboys has shrunk as a result, according to vegasinsider.com. But New York’s Week 6 loss was probably an aberration, and bettors should take advantage of the situation.

New York could easily be 5-1, and they blew the season opener in Dallas, which they seemingly had in hand. The point spread indicates that the teams are almost even on a neutral field, and while the Cowboys have won 10 of their last 12 road games, all of those wins came with Tony Romo at quarterback. Matt Cassel wasn’t good enough to make Buffalo’s roster, and he won't have injured Dez Bryant (foot) as a target against New York. Eli Manning has thrown eight touchdowns and one interception in his last four games against Dallas, and he should put up big numbers against a defense that ranks 25th in opponents’ passer rating.

The Cowboys have had an extra week to prepare for the Giants, but that doesn’t mean much. They are 1-4 straight up and against the spread in their last five games after a bye.

Buffalo Bills (-4)

The Bills are banged up in Week 7, but that won’t matter much when they face the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. The Jaguars might be the worst team in football, and they are in for another big loss.

Buffalo should bounce back on Sunday, despite Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins being out. Jacksonville’s defense is as bad as it gets, allowing Jameis Winston and Brian Hoyer to score 69 total points in the last two weeks. The Jaguars also gave up 51 points to the New England Patriots, and EJ Manuel is a competent backup quarterback. He helped the Bills score 21 points against the Cincinnati Bengals, who rank ninth in points allowed.

The Bills bounced back with wins after their first two losses, and they’ve beaten the bad teams on their schedule. Having earned wins by 13 points and 27 points over the Indianapolis Colts and Miami Dolphins, respectively, Buffalo will add a third double-digit victory to their resume.

Season Record: 12-3