NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game

The NFL Week 11 schedule could feature mostly competitive games. No team is favored by double digits, and seven games have betting lines of four points or fewer.

Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.

Green Bay Packers (+2.5) at Seattle Seahawks

With a top quarterback and an above-average defense, Seattle is better than Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers proved in trips to Los Angeles and New England that he can’t win difficult road games by himself. The Packers should fall short in one of the most difficult venues for any opposing team. Green Bay is 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games.

Prediction ATS: Seattle

Carolina Panthers (-4) are Detroit Lions

The Panthers are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games. Their only road win this season was the result of a 17-point comeback in the fourth quarter. Maybe Cam Newton will help Carolina steal this one, but Matthew Stafford and Detroit’s offense will play well enough to keep this close throughout.

Prediction ATS: Detroit

Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Atlanta Falcons

The Cowboys have been incapable of stringing together two straight good games this season. If Atlanta’s offense gets off to a fast start like it usually does at home, Dallas won’t be able to keep pace.

Prediction ATS: Atlanta

Philadelphia Eagles (+9) at New Orleans Saints

It’s probably not the best idea to lay nearly 10 points to the defending Super Bowl champs. As much as Philadelphia has struggled, they’ve been in every game, never losing by more than a touchdown. New Orleans’ pass defense will be vulnerable to a backdoor cover in the fourth quarter, even if the Saints dominate most of the game.

Prediction ATS: Philadelphia

Tennessee Titans (+2) at Indianapolis Colts

With the betting line below three points, the Colts are the right pick at home. Andrew Luck is playing like his old self and he’s being given more time to throw the ball than ever before. It’s hard to count on Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee offense to keep up with Indianapolis in this spot.

Prediction ATS: Indianapolis

Houston Texans (-3) at Washington Redskins

Houston isn’t six points better than Washington on a neutral field like the point spread indicates. The Redskins are an unimpressive first-place team, but the same could be said for the Texans, who haven’t beaten a team that’s currently above .500. Houston has scored 22 points or fewer in seven of their nine games, and only three teams have given up fewer points than Washington. Don’t expect the Texans to win by more than a field goal.

Prediction ATS: Washington

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1.5) at New York Giants

Maybe the Giants can put together their first winning streak of the season. Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded at least 130 receiving yards or two touchdowns in four of his last five games. He could be in for another big game against a defense that has trouble pressuring the quarterback.

Prediction ATS: New York

Denver Broncos (+7) at Los Angeles Chargers

The Broncos are simply a bad team. The Chargers are a legitimate Super Bowl contender, having only lost to the Rams and Chiefs. Against teams that have at least three wins, Denver is 0-3 on the road. All those defeats came by at least seven points, and the Broncos will be lucky to keep this one within a touchdown.

Prediction ATS: Los Angeles

Oakland Raiders (+4.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Stay far away from the Raiders until further notice. Not only are they the only team with just one win, but Oakland has the NFL’s worst record against the spread. The Raiders haven’t come close to covering a spread since they beat the Browns in Week 4. Even Arizona should beat them by a touchdown.

Prediction ATS: Arizona

Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Don’t discount Jacksonville’s two victories over Pittsburgh last year. The Jaguars believe they can play with the Steelers, and it’ll show Sunday. Playing just their second game in their home stadium since Week 4 could be just what Jacksonville needs to bounce back with a strong performance.

Prediction ATS: Jacksonville

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) at Chicago Bears

Chicago is a completely different team when Khalil Mack is healthy, and he sure looked to be close to 100 percent last week. The Bears could be in Kirk Cousins’ face all day Sunday night, forcing him to commit turnovers that will decide the game. Chicago leads the NFL with 16 interceptions and a plus-13 turnover differential.

Prediction ATS: Chicago

Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) at Los Angeles Rams

The betting line has moved passed a field goal now that the game has been moved from Mexico City to Los Angeles. The team with the final possession might end up winning, making the Chiefs the easy pick. Not only can they keep this game within three points, but Kansas City can also pull off the outright upset with their unstoppable offense.

Prediction ATS: Kansas City

Cincinnati Bengals (N/A) at Baltimore Ravens

There is no betting line because of Joe Flacco's unknown status.

Season Record: 66-76-6