NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread 2019: Predictions ATS, Updated Betting Odds For Every Game

Half of the games in Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season feature a betting line of four points or fewer. There are three double-digit favorites and four true home underdogs on the schedule.

Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 11, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) at Cleveland Browns

The Steelers’ defense has led the team on a four-game winning streak, creating turnovers at a high rate and turning those takeaways into points. Baker Mayfield could find himself under a ton of pressure and forced into making a few big mistakes. It’s hard to trust Freddie Kitchens and the Browns against a well-coached team. Cleveland has failed to cover the spread in five straight home games.

Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh

Houston Texans (+4) at Baltimore Ravens

The team that has the ball last might come away with the win in what could be the week’s most exciting game. With two MVP candidates going head-to-head, Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson should shine against two underwhelming defenses. The Texans are 23rd in opponents’ yards per play and without J.J. Watt for the rest of the season. Baltimore ranks one spot ahead of Houston. The Ravens have given up 24.8 points per game when facing teams other than the Dolphins and Bengals.

Prediction ATS: Houston

Denver Broncos (+10.5) at Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota is 4-0 at home with four wins by at least 10 points. The Vikings are averaging 29.8 points per game at U.S. Bank Stadium with Kirk Cousins posting a 128.2 passer rating. In three games against a quarterback that enters Week 11 with a triple-digit passer rating, Denver has given up 81 total points.

Prediction ATS: Minnesota

Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at Detroit Lions

This game shouldn’t be close if Matthew Stafford can’t suit up. Dallas might still win by a touchdown with Detroit’s starting quarterback under center. The Cowboys have the No.1 ranked offense and the Lions are 30th in total defense. Dallas is 5-1 straight up and against the spread in matchups with teams that have five wins or fewer.

Prediction ATS: Dallas

Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) at Carolina Panthers

Carolina is 3-0 at home with Kyle Allen as the starting quarterback, winning each game by at least a touchdown. Atlanta is too inconsistent to trust them after one victory. Christian McCaffrey should put up big numbers in a win for the Panthers.

Prediction ATS: Carolina

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) at Indianapolis Colts

This might be the most difficult game to pick in Week 11. Nick Foles is as unpredictable as any quarterback. Jacoby Brissett’s status is still in question. It’s a game the Colts should win if their starting quarterback is healthy. Indianapolis is 5-0 against the spread in their last five divisional matchups.

Prediction ATS: Indianapolis

Buffalo Bills (-6) at Miami Dolphins

Miami continues to play hard and improve after a disastrous start, winning two straight games and covering five consecutive point spreads. The Bills were fortunate to beat the Dolphins by 10 points in Buffalo a month ago. Buffalo’s offense has produced an average of 16.5 points over the last six games. The Bills will have trouble winning by more than six points.

Prediction ATS: Miami

New York Jets (+1) at Washington Redskins

In eight quarters with Dwayne Haskins under center, Washington has scored 12 points. The Redskins have failed to score 10 points in five of their last six games. Even against the Jets, picking the Redskins as a favorite would be a mistake. Washington has lost eight home games in a row.

Prediction ATS: New York

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Don’t read anything into New Orleans’ Week 10 loss against Atlanta. The Saints are still as good as anyone in the NFC, and they should bounce back against a team that’s fighting to stay out of last place. Tampa Bay has given up 27 points or more in seven straight games. New Orleans is 5-1 against the spread in their last six divisional games.

Prediction ATS: New Orleans

Arizona Cardinals (+11.5) at San Francisco 49ers

The Cardinals lost to the 49ers by a field goal just two weeks ago. Sunday’s game shouldn’t be as close in San Francisco, but Arizona can stay competitive for much of the way. The 49ers have cooled off with one victory by double digits in the last month. The Cardinals have one loss by more than a field goal over their last six games.

Prediction ATS: Arizona

Cincinnati Bengals (+10.5) at Oakland Raiders

Oakland has become a playoff contender by beating up on bad teams, going 4-0 straight up and against the spread in games with teams that are below .500. Cincinnati is winless, starting a quarterback that played poorly in his NFL debut. The Bengals are last in total defense. The Raiders are fifth in yards per play. This game should be over early.

Prediction ATS: Oakland

New England Patriots (-3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia’s offense has been too inconsistent to trust them against the league’s No.1 defense. The Eagles’ defense has played well in consecutive wins over Mitchell Trubisky and Josh Allen. Let’s see how the secondary performs against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick’s team coming off a bye.

Prediction ATS: New England

Chicago Bears (+6.5) at Los Angeles Rams

Between a struggling Rams’ offense and an elite Bears’ defense, Los Angeles is laying too many points Sunday night. Jared Goff has an even worse passer rating than Trubisky. L.A.’s poor offensive line is down two starters, and Brandin Cooks won’t play. This should be a close, low-scoring game.

Prediction ATS: Chicago

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (Mexico City)

The Chiefs handed the Titans last week’s game in Patrick Mahomes’ return. The quarterback looked every bit like his old self with 446 passing yards and three touchdowns. Even against a very bad Kansas City defense, Los Angeles will find it difficult to keep pace with its AFC West rival. The Chargers have only scored more than 26 points in regulation once this season.

Prediction ATS: Kansas City

Season Record: 67-79-2