NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread: Predictions ATS, Betting Odds For Every Game
Some of the NFL’s best teams are underdogs in Week 11. Five teams that have at least six wins are getting points on the upcoming schedule. The slate includes just one double-digit favorite.
Here are picks against the spread for every game in Week 11 of the 2020 NFL season, as well as the latest betting odds.
Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Arizona Cardinals (+3) at Seattle Seahawks
The Cardinals have scored at least 30 points in five straight games as Kyler Murray continues to be in the MVP conversation. The second-year quarterback has totaled 27 touchdowns with just one multiple-interception game this season. Russell Wilson has been reckless of late with 10 turnovers in the last four games. Maybe he’s trying to overcompensate for a defense that ranks last in yards allowed. Wilson may have a long night against Murray.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) at New Orleans Saints
New Orleans’ offense could take a significant step back as Jameis Winston replaces the injured Drew Brees under center. Winston led the NFL with 30 interceptions when he was Tampa Bay’s starting quarterback in 2019. In four games with Raheem Morris as its interim head coach, Atlanta is 3-1 and giving up 22.5 points per contest.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
New England Patriots (-2) at Houston Texans
Houston has only beaten Jacksonville, who has gone winless since picking up its only victory in Week 1. The Texans are being defeated by an average of 10 points in their losses. The Patriots might have their offense somewhat back on track after scoring more than 20 points in three straight games. Houston is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 games.
Prediction ATS: New England
Detroit Lions (+1) at Carolina Panthers
Carolina has notable injuries with Christian McCaffrey likely to sit and Teddy Bridgewater trying to play through a knee injury. During the Panthers’ five-game losing streak, they’ve given up 30.8 points per game. Detroit ranks eighth in yards per play over its last three games. Carolina is 1-7-1 against the spread in its last nine home games.
Prediction ATS: Detroit
Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland’s offense has sputtered in the last month, scoring 10 points or fewer in three of its last four games. Philadelphia has one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, tied for third with 31 sacks. In the four games during which Baker Mayfield has been sacked multiple times, he’s averaging just 157.3 passing yards.
Prediction ATS: Philadelphia
Tennessee Titans (+6) at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore’s offense has not been the same this year, and it continues to suffer injuries on the offensive line. The Ravens rank 21st in yards per play. They last scored more than 24 points in Week 6, and it could take more than that to beat Tennessee by a touchdown. The Titans are eighth in yards per play. Tennessee upset Baltimore 28-12 in last season’s divisional playoff round.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The undefeated Steelers aren’t suffering their first loss to a team that enters Week 11 on an eight-game losing streak. Pittsburgh just routed Cincinnati by 26 points. The Steelers have scored at least 24 points in every game and rank third in scoring defense. The Jaguars are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven contests.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Cincinnati Bengals (+1) at Washington Football Team
Washington’s pass rush could cause a problem for Cincinnati’s offensive line and Joe Burrow. The rookie quarterback has been sacked 32 times, including 31 times in the seven games that the Bengals failed to win. Alex Smith is coming off his best game since his comeback. He threw for 390 yards and no interceptions in Week 10.
Prediction ATS: Washington
New York Jets (+8.5) at Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers always play close games. Sunday could be no different, even against the winless Jets. Only one of Los Angeles’ contests has been decided by more than a touchdown, and it was a 10-point win over Jacksonville that was a one-score game until the final half of the fourth quarter.
Prediction ATS: New York
Miami Dolphins (-3.5) at Denver Broncos
The Dolphins have been borderline dominant during their five-game winning streak, beating their opponents by an average score of 31-17. The Broncos have lost three of their last four games by a combined 59 points. Drew Lock has a 66.5 passer rating with seven touchdowns and 10 interceptions, failing to prove he should be an NFL starter. Miami is an NFL-best 7-2 against the spread.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Green Bay Packers (+1) at Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay’s massive edge at quarterback might be the difference in this contest, even though Indianapolis boasts an elite defense. Aaron Rodgers has the NFL’s highest passer rating, and he’s only thrown nine interceptions since the start of the 2018 season. The Colts lead the AFC with 11 picks. Philip Rivers’ passer rating doesn’t crack the top 20 among starting quarterbacks.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
Dallas Cowboys (+7) at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota’s offense will have its way with an awful Dallas defense. The Vikings lead the NFL with 6.5 yards per play. The Cowboys are giving up a league-high 32.2 points per game. Dallas is 30th in opponents’ yards per carry. That doesn’t bode well for their chances against Dalvin Cook, the top rusher in football.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) at Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders are the only team that’s beaten the Chiefs in 2020, so you can be sure that Kansas City won’t take them lightly Sunday. Andy Reid’s teams are 18-3 coming off a bye, and the Chiefs blew out the Raiders 40-9 coming out of last year’s bye week. The Chiefs are averaging 36.6 points in five games against the Raiders with Patrick Mahomes under center. Kansas City is 15-3 against the spread in its last 18 games.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
Los Angeles Rams (+4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
A potential playoff preview, Monday night’s game could be decided by a field goal either way. Los Angeles leads the league in net yards per play. The Rams are the only team that has both a top-7 offense and defense. In three matchups with defenses that rank in the top-10 in yards per play allowed, the Bucs have been held to 15 points per game.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
Season Record: 69-73-5
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