NFL Week 12 Picks Against The Spread 2021: Predictions ATS, Betting Odds, Matchups
Fifteen games are on the NFL Week 12 schedule, but only one contest features a betting line of seven points or more. In the 10 Sunday afternoon matchups, half of the road teams are favored by fewer than four points.
Here are picks against the spread for every game in Week 12, as well as updated betting odds. Betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Chicago Bears (-3.5) at Detroit Lions
Look for Chicago to win a close, low-scoring game. The Bears are averaging 15.7 points in games during which Andy Dalton started or received significant playing time. Jared Goff seems likely to return from injury and start at quarterback for Detroit.
Prediction ATS: Detroit
Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas’ top-ranked offense won’t be the same if both Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb are out. A 7.5-point spread is probably too big because of the Cowboys’ injuries. Las Vegas’ offense has fallen apart without Henry Ruggs, and Las Vegas will have a tough time winning outright.
Prediction ATS: Las Vegas
Buffalo Bills (-4) at New Orleans Saints
There’s a good chance Alvin Kamara will miss a third straight game with a knee injury. Buffalo’s top-ranked defense should excel against Trevor Siemian and a New Orleans offense that is lacking in weapons. The Saints are 0-3 since Jameis Winston was lost for the season.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) at Indianapolis Colts
The Bucs are getting healthy, and that’s a problem for the rest of the league. Tom Brady is still playing as well as any quarterback. Carson Wentz hasn’t had to be more than a game manager because of Jonathan Taylor’s incredible season. That could change against a very good Tampa Bay run defense.
Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay
New York Jets (+3) at Houston Texans
As bad as the Jets have been, it’s hard to pick the Texans as three-point favorites. Both teams have two wins, including a surprising upset over the Titans. Houston ranks dead last in yards per play for the entire season and the last three games.
Prediction ATS: New York
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) at New York Giants
The Eagles have climbed their way into the playoff race by defeating bad teams, and the Giants are one of the NFL’s worst. Philadelphia will face a virtually nonexistent Giants pass rush. Jalen Hurts will have all day to throw behind an elite offensive line. Daniel Jones last threw for more than 242 yards on Oct. 3.
Prediction ATS: Philadelphia
Carolina Panthers (-1.5) at Miami Dolphins
Miami’s defense is rounding into form, especially in the secondary. The Dolphins have allowed the eighth fewest yards per play in the last three weeks. Carolina’s defense isn’t as good as the overall numbers would suggest because the Panthers took advantage of a weak schedule to start the season.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Tennessee Titans (+6) at New England Patriots
This line has gotten too high. New England was only favored by a field goal before Tennessee was upset by Houston. The Patriots only totaled four offensive touchdowns in recent wins over the Chargers, Panthers and Falcons. The Titans have held four of their last five opponents to 22 points or fewer.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati won 24-10 in Pittsburgh in Week 3, taking advantage of two Ben Roethlisberger interceptions. The Steelers were last defeated by more than four points in Week 4. That was also the last time Roethlisberger threw a pick.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Falcons are 3-0 against teams that are at least three games under .500 entering Week 12. With four double-digit losses in Jacksonville, the Jaguars have no home-field advantage. Matt Ryan is still a significantly better quarterback than Trevor Lawrence, who last had a game with more touchdowns than interceptions in Week 6.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Denver Broncos
The Chargers have overcome a very difficult schedule to find themselves in the latest playoff picture. Los Angeles is 4-0 against teams that would be out of the postseason if the playoffs started in Week 12. The Broncos have only beaten one team that is currently in the postseason.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
Los Angeles Rams (+1) at Green Bay Packers
If Aaron Rodgers is on the field, this line should be closer to a field goal. The Packers are undefeated at home and own the NFL’s best record against the spread. Matthew Stafford has come crashing back down to earth since garnering early MVP buzz.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers
The Vikings are only a few plays away from having one of the best records in football. At the very least, Minnesota will be in this game down to the wire, considering the Vikings haven’t been beaten by more than one score. Kirk Cousins has been a stealth MVP candidate with 21 touchdown passes and two interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
Cleveland Browns (+4) at Baltimore Ravens
With the way Baker Mayfield is playing because of injuries, the Browns are not in the same class as the Ravens. An outlier 41-point explosion in Week 10 is the only time Cleveland has scored more than 17 points since Week 6. No AFC team has allowed fewer rushing yards than Baltimore.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Seattle Seahawks (+1) at Washington Football Team
There’s little reason to have faith in Seattle’s offense. Russell Wilson has only completed 51.5% of his passes for 368 yards and no touchdowns in two games back from a finger injury.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Season Record: 76-86-3
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