With so many large point spreads on the NFL Week 14 schedule, there are likely to only be a few underdogs that win their games outright. A couple of AFC North teams are getting points on the road against opponents with worse records.

Here are the best upset picks for Week 14 for the 2021 season. Betting odds come from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+140) at Minnesota Vikings

Thursday night’s game is essentially a toss-up between Pittsburgh and Minnesota, making the Steelers a value bet at three-point underdogs. The Vikings are banged up on a short week, and they are vulnerable for a third straight loss.

Aside from Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson, most of Minnesota’s top players are dealing with injuries. Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook are both in jeopardy of missing Thursday’s contest. Anthony Barr, Eric Kendricks and Christian Darrisaw all missed Sunday’s loss against the Lions. Any injury on defense is crucial for the Vikings, who have given up an average of 29.6 points over the last five games and rank 26th in opponents’ yards per play. Pittsburgh leads the league in sacks, and only five teams have given up fewer passing touchdowns.

Six of Pittsburgh’s last seven matchups have been decided by five points or fewer. All but one of Minnesota’s games have come down to the wire. With the way their season has gone, the Vikings would likely come up short in a nail-biter against the Steelers.

Baltimore Ravens (+120) at Cleveland Browns

Baltimore isn’t much of an underdog in Cleveland, but the Ravens should probably be favored in Sunday’s matchup. Look for the Ravens to defeat the Browns for a second time in three weeks, ending Cleveland’s AFC North chances for good.

The Ravens beat the Browns 16-10 in Week 12, despite Lamar Jackson’s four interceptions. As much as Jackson has struggled recently, he should be the best quarterback on the field. Baker Mayfield has played poorly since he suffered a torn labrum and fracture in his left shoulder. The Browns have failed to score more than 17 points in six of the last seven games, and Mayfield is averaging 195.5 passing yards during that stretch. Browns leading receiver David Njoku is on the COVID list.

Cleveland’s vaunted rushing attack was held to 40 yards in the loss against Baltimore. All-Pro right tackle Jack Conklin is now out for the season. If Jackson can clean up some of his glaring mistakes, the Ravens should win outright and remain atop the division.

John Harbaugh, Ravens
Head coach John Harbaugh of the Baltimore Ravens reacts against the Cincinnati Bengals during the second half at M&T Bank Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland. Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images
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