NFL Week 16 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game
Three teams are favored by double digits in Week 16, and three more teams are laying at least a touchdown. There are five road favorites and two favorites that have been eliminated from playoff contention.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 16 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Washington Redskins (+10) at Tennessee Titans
Derrick Henry is bound to slow down after rushing for 408 yards in his last two games. If Josh Johnson can avoid throwing interceptions, which he did in Washington’s win last week, the Redskins can keep this within single digits.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Baltimore Ravens (+4.5) at Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers might be the most well-balanced team in football with 10 wins in their last 11 games. The Ravens have won four of their last five games by defeating teams that won’t be going to the playoffs. Lamar Jackson’s 146.2 passing yards per game as a starter won’t be good enough against a top Super Bowl contender.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) at Dallas Cowboys
The Bucs have scored 22 total points this season when visiting the Ravens’ No.1 ranked scoring defense and the Bears’ No.3 ranked scoring defense. It should be more of the same for Tampa Bay against Dallas, who is fourth in points allowed and is giving up 18.3 points per game at home. Dak Prescott will bounce back against a defense that’s allowing a league-high 111.1 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
New York Giants (+9) at Indianapolis Colts
The Giants looked worse than they are in Week 15 when they were shut out by the Titans. The Colts looked better than they are when they shut out the Cowboys. Take the points with a team that’s lost against the spread once in their last six games.
Prediction ATS: New York
Houston Texans (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
The Texans have climbed to the top of the AFC South by defeating borderline playoff teams on the road, picking up wins against the likes of the Colts, Redskins and Broncos away from Houston. Deshaun Watson and Co. should be able to clinch the division title and take care of business against the Eagles, who are being overvalued after stunning the Rams in Los Angeles.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) at Miami Dolphins
The Jaguars have seemingly gotten worse since benching Blake Bortles. Jacksonville has scored 28 total points in three games with Cody Kessler as the starting quarterback. They haven’t won on the road since Week 1. Miami is 6-1 against the spread at home.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Green Bay Packers (+1) at New York Jets
Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been an elite quarterback this season, and Green Bay isn’t good enough to consistently win when he’s not performing at a high level. Sam Darnold has played well of late, and he can lead the Jets to a win against a team that still doesn’t have a victory away from Lambeau Field.
Prediction ATS: New York
Cincinnati Bengals (+8.5) at Cleveland Browns
The Browns easily defeated the Bengals when they met in Cincinnati a few weeks ago. Cleveland has made it clear that they are motivated to beat Hue Jackson and the Bengals, so Sunday could be another one-sided affair. The Browns are 4-1 straight up and against the spread in their last five games.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Minnesota Vikings (-5.5) at Detroit Lions
One game against the Dolphins’ 30th ranked defense isn’t enough evidence to prove that a change in offensive coordinators has completely revamped Minnesota’s offense. Kirk Cousins and the Vikings have struggled on the road, where they are 2-4-1 with just one victory by more than a field goal. You can be sure that Matthew Stafford won’t be sacked 10 times like he was when the Lions lost in Minnesota 24-9 on Nov. 4.
Prediction ATS: Detroit
Buffalo Bills (+13) at New England Patriots
Maybe this Patriots’ team isn’t as good as the teams that reached the AFC Championship Game in each of the last seven seasons, but they are still dominant at home. New England is 6-0 at Gillette Stadium. All four teams that visited New England and aren’t in first place were beaten by at least two touchdowns.
Predictions ATS: New England
Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) at Carolina Panthers
Whether it’s his shoulder injury, poor decision-making or a combination of the two, Cam Newton is not giving the Panthers a good chance to win right now. The quarterback has thrown nine interceptions during Carolina’s six-game losing streak. It’s hard to pick the Panthers as favorites against a team that beat them earlier this season.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
Chicago Bears (-4) at San Francisco 49ers
Nick Mullens and the 49ers are in for a rude awakening against the NFL’s best defense. Chicago hasn’t given up more than 22 offensive points in regulation in any of their last eight games. The Bears will win this one going away if Mitchell Trubisky can avoid costly turnovers. That might not be very difficult since the 49ers are dead last with two interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Los Angeles Rams (-13.5) at Arizona Cardinals
As bad as Arizona has been on offense, you can’t lay nearly two touchdowns on the road with the way Los Angeles is playing. The Rams haven’t won by more than 14 points since Week 7, and they’ve covered just one point spread during that span. Jared Goff has posted a passer rating below 76.0 in each of his last three games.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5) at New Orleans Saints
It’s been a month since the Saints have played at home. Drew Brees was throwing touchdown passes left and right to players most fans never heard of when New Orleans was last inside the Superdome. Look for the MVP candidate to return back to that form Sunday. Brees has a 139.1 passer rating at home with 20 touchdown passes and one interception.
Prediction ATS: New Orleans
Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle’s only home losses are a two-point defeat at the hands of the Rams and a game against the Chargers that came down to the final play. Kansas City hasn’t been the same dominant team it was in the first half of the season, losing two of its last four games and needing overtime to beat the Ravens at home. Russell Wilson will put up big numbers against a defense that’s given up 35 points per game over the last month.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Denver Broncos (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Broncos aren’t very good on the road, and they’ve had trouble moving the ball after losing their top two receivers. Oakland has been competitive at home lately, beating the Steelers and only losing to the Chiefs by a touchdown.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
Season Record: 99-118-7
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