NFL Week 17 Picks Against The Spread 2016: Predictions, Updated Las Vegas Odds For Every Game ATS
Heading into Week 17 of the 2016 NFL season, most of the league’s teams have nothing to play for in the season finale. Ten of the 12 playoff spots have already been clinched, though four teams are still fighting for a postseason berth.
The Green Bay Packers are road favorites against the Detroit Lions in what’s essentially an NFC North championship game. The Washington Redskins are heavy favorites over the New York Giants as they try to make the playoffs as the NFC’s No. 6 seed. Five playoff teams are underdogs Sunday.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 17, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Houston Texans (+3) at Tennessee Titans
Even though Houston will be looking to get ready for their playoff game next week, they could steal a victory in Tennessee. Playing for the injured Marcus Mariota, Matt Cassel might be the worst quarterback that gets a start in Week 17, having recorded a passer rating below 70.0 in his last 15 games.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Buffalo Bills (-3.5) at New York Jets
Even with EJ Manuel at quarterback, the Bills should have no problem beating the Jets. New York has seemingly given up on the season, losing three of their last four games by more than 30 points. Only four of the last 14 teams to fire their head coach have failed to cover the spread in the next game, and Buffalo should beat New York just days after Rex Ryan’s departure.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Even though the Ravens are out of playoff contention, they should be able to win in Cincinnati. After losing to the Texans on Christmas Eve, the Bengals are 1-8-1 against winning teams this season. Baltimore held Cincinnati to just 14 points in a win on Nov. 27, and the Bengals will have trouble scoring against one of the league’s top defenses.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
New York Giants (+7.5) at Washington Redskins
The Giants say their plan is to play all of their starters, but it’s hard to believe New York won’t rest its top players in the second half. New York has nothing to play for since they are guaranteed to be the No. 5 seed. The Redskins need a win to stay alive for the second NFC wild-card spot, and the Giants would have trouble winning in Washington even if they had something on the line.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Green Bay Packers (-3) at Detroit Lions
Green Bay is the NFC’s hottest team, while Detroit is 0-4 against playoff teams. Detroit has been fortunate to win close games against subpar competition, and they won’t be able to keep up with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers’ offense.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5) at Indianapolis Colts
Blake Bortles had his best game of the season after Gus Bradley was fired, and he should have another big performance under interim head coach Doug Marrone. The Colts ranks 29th in opponents’ passer rating, and Sunday’s game should be a high-scoring affair that’s decided late in the fourth quarter.
Prediction ATS: Jacksonville
Dallas Cowboys (+4) at Philadelphia Eagles
It sounds like Dallas’ starters, including Ezekiel Elliott, will get a decent amount of playing time in Week 17. The Cowboys already have a bye in the first round of the playoffs, and they might not want to take their foot off the gas pedal just yet. Carson Wentz still hasn’t had a particularly good game in the last two months, and Philadelphia will have a difficult time winning by more than a field goal.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Chicago Bears (+5) at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is four games ahead of Chicago in the NFC North standings, but the two teams have the same number of wins since Week 5. With the NFL’s worst rushing attack and a quarterback that ranks 19th in yards per attempts, the Vikings can’t get much done on offense. They might beat the Bears in a close game, but the five-point betting line is just too high.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Carolina Panthers (+5.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers were the NFL’s biggest disappointment in 2016, but they remain among the most talented teams in the conference. Jameis Winston is tied for second in the league with 17 interceptions, and he might commit a few costly turnovers against a defense that’s tied for third in picks.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Cleveland Browns (+6) at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers are guaranteed to have the No. 3 seed in the playoffs. Considering the injuries players like Ben Roethlisberger and Le’Veon Bell have dealt with in recent years, Mike Tomlin is likely to rely on backups Sunday. Cleveland showed a lot of fight in their Week 16 victory, and they have a chance to upset a Pittsburgh team that has nothing to play for.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
New Orleans Saints (+6.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta should be able to secure a first-round bye with a victory over New Orleans in Week 17. With the Saints ranking 30th in points allowed and the Falcons averaging more points per game than all but seven teams in NFL history, Atlanta should be able to move the ball at will.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
New England Patriots (-9.5) at Miami Dolphins
The Patriots found out last year how costly not having home-field advantage can be, so they’ll likely be going all out for the No. 1 seed in Miami. The Dolphins are locked into a wild-card spot, and Adam Gase will likely rest his starters towards the end of the game. Even if Miami does do everything it can to win, Matt Moore won’t be able to keep pace with Tom Brady.
Prediction ATS: New England
Arizona Cardinals (-6) at Los Angeles Rams
In recent seasons, the Rams have played poorly with nothing to play for in the season finale, going 0-9 in their last nine Week 17 games. L.A. has the NFL’s worst offense with rookie quarterback Jared Goff struggling mightily, and this game could be over if the Cardinals even score two touchdowns. Arizona is averaging more than 32 points in their last four games.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) at San Diego Chargers
Kansas City should be able to win a close game on the road, but the betting line seems too high. The point spread indicates that the Chiefs would be 11.5-point favorites against the Chargers at home, but Kansas City needed overtime to defeat San Diego at Arrowhead Stadium earlier this year.
Prediction ATS: San Diego
Seattle Seahawks (-9.5) at San Francisco 49ers
With Seattle still looking to earn a first-round bye, San Francisco probably won’t even be competitive against their NFC West rivals. The 49ers are 0-13 this season when they don’t face the Rams, and they haven’t even covered the spread once in their last 11 games against the Seahawks. Seattle defeated San Francisco 37-18 earlier this season, and Sunday’s game shouldn’t be much different.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Oakland Raiders (+1.5) at Denver Broncos
The Raiders are in contention for the No. 2 seed because of what their offense has done with Derek Carr at quarterback, but the unit will look completely different with Matt McGloin replacing the injured signal caller. Denver has the NFL’s best pass defense, and the Broncos should be dominant against a quarterback that’s appeared in just five games since the start of the 2014 season.
Prediction ATS: Denver
Season Record: 124-108-7
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