NFL Week 17 Picks Against The Spread 2017: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds
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Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season features some interesting betting odds. Four playoff teams are underdogs against teams that are either eliminated from contention or still trying to clinch a postseason berth. Three of the league’s four best teams are favored by at least 12 points.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 17, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Cleveland Browns (+13.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers are the easy pick with the betting line moving below two touchdowns. The Browns have covered the spread just once in their last eight games overall, as well as once in their last 11 road games. Pittsburgh has plenty to play for with the No.1 seed on the line, and Cleveland is headed for the second-ever 0-16 season.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Washington Redskins (-3.5) at New York Giants
New York’s roster is even more depleted now that Landon Collins, the team’s only Pro Bowl selection, is done for the year. None of the Giants’ losses during their five-game losing streak have come by fewer than five points. Washington still has a top-10 quarterback in Kirk Cousins, and they’ll score plenty against the NFL’s last-ranked defense.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Buffalo Bills (-3) at Miami Dolphins
The Bills easily beat the Dolphins two weeks ago when both teams were in the playoff hunt, and Buffalo shouldn’t have much trouble now that Miami has been eliminated. Jay Cutler has thrown multiple picks three times in his last five games. That’s going to be a problem against the team that ranks fourth in interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Green Bay Packers (+7) at Detroit Lions
The Packers showed some pride last week by playing the Vikings close in a game that didn’t mean anything for Green Bay. Detroit hasn’t scored more than 24 points in any of their last five games, and counting on the Lions to win by more than a touchdown is probably a mistake.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
Carolina Panthers (+3.5) at Atlanta Falcons
The Panthers are the smart pick with the point spread being higher than a field goal. Carolina has been the better team all season long, and they’ve lost just once in their last eight games. The Panthers are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine road games.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Chicago Bears (+12) at Minnesota Vikings
In a matchup between the NFL’s No.1 ranked defense and the No.30 ranked offense, the Bears might be lucky to score more than 10 points. The Vikings are averaging 25 points per game at home, and they are trying to secure a first-round bye.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
New Orleans Saints (-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston’s propensity to make mistakes will come back to bite him against New Orleans’ young, talented secondary. The Saints are 12-4-1 against the spread in their last 17 road games. Drew Brees had a 131.9 passer rating when he faced Tampa Bay earlier this season.
Prediction ATS: New Orleans
Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Who knows what’s going to happen in this game? Philadelphia is clearly the better team, but they’ve already locked up the NFC’s No.1 seed. When the roles were reversed in last year’s regular-season finale, the Eagles beat the Cowboys.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
New York Jets (+15.5) at New England Patriots
New York tends to play New England close, and that shouldn’t change as the Jets try to spoil the Patriots’ hopes of securing home-field advantage until the Super Bowl. The Patriots have only covered the spread once in their last nine games against the Jets.
Prediction ATS: New York
Houston Texans (+3.5) at Indianapolis Colts
Houston’s offense continues to be a mess without Deshaun Watson, scoring more than 16 points just once in nine games started by other quarterbacks. The Texans have been held to single digits in four of those contests. The Colts already have a win in Houston this year.
Prediction ATS: Indianapolis
Cincinnati Bengals (+9.5) at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore looks like a team that could make a run in the playoffs. Their only loss in the last six games was a one-point defeat at Pittsburgh, and they might blow out a Bengals’ team that’s out of contention. The Ravens won in Cincinnati 20-0 in the season opener.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) at Tennessee Titans
Don’t expect the Titans to cruise to a victory just because the Jaguars are locked into the No.3 seed. It’s been well over two months since Tennessee had a truly impressive offensive performance. Even though Jacksonville’s starters might get significant rest, the team’s defense can still keep this game close.
Prediction ATS: Jacksonville
NFL Week 17 Trends:
— Joe Osborne (@JTFOz) December 27, 2017
Over the last 3 seasons, road teams are 28-19-1 ATS in Week 17.
Patriots: 14-4 ATS in last 18 games in Week 17
Cardinals: 10-4 ATS in last 14 games in Week 17
Cowboys: 3-11 ATS in last 14 games in Week 17
Saints: 6-14 ATS in last 20 games in Week 17
Arizona Cardinals (+9.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle isn’t the dominant home team they once were. Laying nearly 10 points to a team that only is two games behind the Seahawks in the standings doesn’t make a ton of sense, especially considering Seattle was blown out at CenturyLink field just two weeks ago. Arizona’s defense has played well of late, allowing just 27 total points in the last three games.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Oakland Raiders (+7) at Los Angeles Chargers
Derek Carr isn’t performing anything like a quarterback that’s worth $25 million a year with 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions in his last eight games. He could be in for a world of hurt against the NFL’s best pair of pass rushers and one of the league’s best secondaries.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) at Denver Broncos
Even though Kansas City has nothing on the line, Denver shouldn’t be favored by more than a field goal. The Broncos have trouble moving the ball against any defense, likely turning this into a close, low-scoring affair.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
San Francisco 49ers (+1) at Los Angeles Rams
It might be best to keep betting on Jimmy Garoppolo until he loses. The quarterback is undefeated as a starter and performing like an elite signal caller. L.A. doesn’t have much to play for since they’ve already clinched the NFC West title and can’t get a first-round bye.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco
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