Tom Brady Bill Belichick Patriots
Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots talks with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and head coach Bill Belichick before the game against the Houston Texans at Gillette Stadium on September 9, 2018 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Of the 15 games on the schedule for Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season, only two feature point spreads of less than a field goal. Five road teams are favored. Two undefeated teams are home underdogs, and two winless teams are favored to pick up their first victories.

Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 4, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.

Philadelphia Eagles (+4) at Green Bay Packers

Green Bay’s struggles on offense could finally cost them a game. Another sub-250-yard day from Aaron Rodgers isn’t going to cut it now that the Packers aren’t facing a team with Joe Flacco or Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback.

Prediction ATS: Philadelphia

Carolina Panthers (+4.5) at Houston Texans

Even if Kyle Allen is the real deal, he’s not going to have another four-touchdown, no-interception game. Deshaun Watson is playing like a star and J.J. Watt was dominant in Week 3. The Texans are the better team, making them the right pick as favorites of not much more than a field goal at home.

Prediction ATS: Houston

Tennessee Titans (+4) at Atlanta Falcons

These are two mediocre teams that can’t be trusted on a week-to-week basis. Grab the points with the team that probably has the better head coach. Atlanta is 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games.

Prediction ATS: Tennessee

Cleveland Browns (+7) at Baltimore Ravens

Even against a Browns’ team that’s already been exposed through three games, the Ravens might be laying too many points in this one. Baltimore hasn’t looked like an elite team since blowing out Miami. This game could be similar to the Ravens’ 23-17 win over the Cardinals in Week 2. Baltimore is 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games.

Prediction ATS: Cleveland

New England Patriots (-7) at Buffalo Bills

The Bills are the NFL’s most fraudulent 3-0 team. Buffalo still hasn’t beaten a quarterback that’s picked up a victory this season. They are going to get hit with a dose of reality when they host Tom Brady and a Patriots’ defense that hasn’t allowed a touchdown in three games. Buffalo is 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games against New England.

Prediction ATS: New England

Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) at Detroit Lions

The Chiefs have won both of their road games by multiple touchdowns. As incredible as Patrick Mahomes has been, the quarterback could have his best day of the young season when he plays his first-ever NFL game indoors. A hamstring injury to cornerback Darius Slay won’t help Detroit’s chances.

Prediction ATS: Kansas City

Oakland Raiders (+7) at Indianapolis Colts

The Raiders are winless in their last nine road games east of Denver, losing each one of those contests by eight points or more. With a very good head coach and a quarterback that avoids turnovers, the Colts are a safe bet to take care of business at home against one of the NFL’s worst teams.

Prediction ATS: Indianapolis

Los Angeles Chargers (-16) at Miami Dolphins

It’s probably best to keep picking against the Dolphins until further notice. Miami has yet to cover one of these large point spreads, losing by at least 25 points in every game. The Chargers are good on the road and Miami doesn’t have much of a home-field advantage.

Prediction ATS: Los Angeles

Washington Redskins (+3) at New York Giants

The Giants are the right side in this one since Daniel Jones appears to be the best quarterback on either team and the Redskins are the worst team in the NFC East. New York’s defense will keep this one interesting, however, since it might be the worst unit in the entire conference.

Prediction ATS: New York

Seattle Seahawks (-5) at Arizona Cardinals

Russell Wilson should find a way to help Seattle leave Arizona with a win, but the Seahawks haven’t shown enough to warrant being sizeable road favorites. Seattle barely beat Mason Rudolph and Andy Dalton before losing comfortably at home to Teddy Bridgewater.

Prediction ATS: Arizona

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+9.5) at Los Angeles Rams

The Rams’ offense has struggled enough through three games that laying close to double digits with Los Angeles at this point doesn’t seem like a wise decision. If Jameis Winston can perform as he did in each of the last two weeks, the Buccaneers can keep this one close for most of the way.

Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay

Jameis Winston Buccaneers
Quarterback Jameis Winston of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the pregrame of an NFL football game on Oct. 5, 2017 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. Getty Images

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) at Denver Broncos

Laying a field goal with Joe Flacco and this Denver offense against any halfway decent quarterback should be a non-starter. Gardner Minshew has been pretty good as Nick Foles’ replacement, and he’ll be leading the Jaguars against a team that hasn’t scored more than 16 points since Week 13 of last season.

Prediction ATS: Jacksonville

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) at Chicago Bears

Kirk Cousins has to prove he can beat a good team on the road. The quarterback was awful at Lambeau Field in Week 2, entering the contest with a 5-25 career record against teams with winning records. Khalil Mack and Chicago’s pass rush is going to dominate a shaky Minnesota offensive line.

Prediction ATS: Chicago

Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) at New Orleans Saints

Three wins over bad teams shouldn’t be enough to make Dallas nearly three-point road favorites in New Orleans. The Saints are going to be very difficult to beat at home, even with Drew Brees standing on the sidelines.

Prediction ATS: New Orleans

Cincinnati Bengals (+4) at Pittsburgh Steelers

This should be the week the Steelers finally pick up their first win. Minkah Fitzpatrick made an immediate impact in his first game with Pittsburgh. Mason Rudolph should be much better in his second start when he’s at home against a defense that’s surrendered a 110.3 passer rating.

Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh

Season Record: 18-30