NFL Week 7 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game
With four teams on a bye, 14 games are on the upcoming NFL schedule. Three teams are favored by exactly a field goal, and only one team needs to win by more than one score in order to cover the spread.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 7 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Denver Broncos (-1) at Arizona Cardinals
The Broncos shouldn’t be favored on the road against anyone. They’ve gone 0-4 since opening the season with two victories in Denver, and neither the offense nor the defense has been particularly impressive. Arizona has been competitive with Josh Rosen under center, going 1-2 with losses against two decent teams. The Broncos are far from decent, especially away from Mile High, where they’ve been outscored by 31 points in two games and have covered the spread once in their last 12 games.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Los Angeles Chargers (London)
Maybe the Chargers are finally living up to expectations. After blowing out the Browns on the road, Los Angeles is 4-0 when not playing the team with the best record in each conference. The Chargers haven’t scored fewer than 23 points in any game, and the defense is improving each week. The Titans are 30th in both yards and points per game, giving them little chance to keep pace with Philip Rivers and Co.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
New England Patriots (-3) at Chicago Bears
It took a few weeks, but New England is back to being the best team in the AFC. They can score against any defense, even a tough Chicago defense that should bounce back after a poor performance in Miami. Mitchell Trubisky could put up some good numbers if he’s protected for most of the game, but it’s hard to pick him against Tom Brady when the point spread is only a field goal.
Prediction ATS: New England
Cleveland Browns (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland’s offense has been awful in the last two weeks against good defenses. Playing Tampa Bay might be the perfect remedy to get the Browns back on track. The Buccaneers have the league’s worst defense, ranking dead last in yards allowed per play. Baker Mayfield will have plenty of open receivers against Tampa Bay, who has allowed opposing quarterbacks to post a 129.5 passer rating. Jameis Winston’s recklessness will bite him against a Cleveland defense that has nine interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Carolina Panthers (+5) at Philadelphia Eagles
The might be the most difficult game on the schedule to predict. Is Philadelphia back to playing like a Super Bowl contender or did they simply benefit from playing one of the NFL’s worst teams in Week 6? Carson Wentz has played pretty well, but the Eagles’ offense has struggled because he’s been under constant pressure. Perhaps that won’t be the case against a Carolina defense that only has 12 sacks.
Prediction ATS: Philadelphia
Minnesota Vikings (-3) at New York Jets
If Minnesota is really a Super Bowl contender, this is a game they have to win. The Jets are 0-3 against good teams, losing to the Dolphins, Jaguars and Browns by a combined 31 points. The Vikings’ defense isn’t what it was a year ago, but it’s still good enough to stop Sam Darnold, who has been awful in two games against good defenses. Kirk Cousins has been terrific when he’s not fumbling the football, and Minnesota should win this one going away if they can avoid multiple costly turnovers.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
Buffalo Bills (+7.5) at Indianapolis Colts
The Bills can’t score, but neither can the teams that they are playing. Buffalo has allowed 15.3 points per game over the last four weeks, and they are a Nathan Peterman interception away from possibly having a .500 record. With Derek Anderson under center, the Bills will have a fighting chance against a Colts’ team that has been decimated by injuries. Andrew Luck is tied for first with eight interceptions, and he could be under pressure all day against a defense that’s tied for third with 19 sacks.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Houston Texans (+5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
It’s not time to give up on the Jaguars after two awful performances. The defense still has as much talent as anyone, and the Texans have struggled when facing good defenses, putting up 53 total points in regulation against the Titans, Cowboys and Bills. Just when it looks like Blake Bortles should be benched, he usually has a big game. The quarterback could put up big numbers at home, where he’s played well this season.
Prediction ATS: Jacksonville
New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Baltimore Ravens
Drew Brees leads the NFL with a 122.3 passer rating. Let’s see how he performs on the road and outdoors against the league’s best defense. The Ravens are first in sacks, yards allowed and points allowed. They’ve had one bad half all season, allowing just 49 points over 22 of the 24 quarters they’ve played. Baltimore should take care of business at home, where they’ve given up 17 points in two games. Look for Joe Flacco to exploit a Saints’ defense that’s struggled for much of the year.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Dallas Cowboys (+1.5) at Washington Redskins
These two NFC East rivals are probably about even and the betting line should be closer to a field goal. Dallas’ offense remains one of the NFL’s worst. That didn’t change because of one good game at home. The Cowboys still have a weak receiving corps that has done nothing on the road. If Adrian Peterson can get anything going, Washington will have the edge in what will be a low-scoring affair.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Los Angeles Rams (-10) at San Francisco 49ers
The Rams have failed to cover the spread in two straight road games in which they were laying a touchdown. They’ll be hard-pressed to win by double-digits against a feisty 49ers’ team. After nearly winning outright in Green Bay, San Francisco has lost by two points, 10 points and three points in C.J. Beathard’s three starts. The 49ers lost by two points in a close contest when Brian Hoyer and San Francisco hosted L.A. last season. Don’t be surprised if Kyle Shanahan's squad nearly pulls off the upset, once again.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco
Cincinnati Bengals (+6) at Kansas City Chiefs
Even in defeat, Kansas City was impressive last week, only losing at Gillette Stadium because of yet another game-winning drive by Tom Brady in the final two minutes. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense continues to be unstoppable, scoring 35.8 points per game. The Chiefs have won by double-digits against good teams in both of their home games. The Bengals’ offense has slowed down, ranking 23rd in yards per play over the last three weeks. Kansas City is the only team with a perfect record against the spread, and it might make sense to keep riding the Chiefs until they lose.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
New York Giants (+5.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Just about any team, even the Giants, should be able to move the ball against Atlanta’s defense. The unit has lost several key starters to injuries, and it’s resulted in opponents averaging 37.5 points over the last four games. Saquon Barkley could approach 250 all-purpose yards and keep New York close in a high-scoring affair.
Prediction ATS: New York
Detroit Lions (N/A) at Miami Dolphins
There is currently no betting line because of the unknown status of Ryan Tannehill.
Season Record: 46-43-4
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