NFL Week 8 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game
If the favorites are going to have a good week on the upcoming NFL schedule, they’ll need to cover a bunch of big point spreads. Two games feature double-digit betting lines, and four other contests have underdogs getting more than a touchdown.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 8 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Miami Dolphins (+7.5) at Houston Texans
The Texans shouldn’t be laying this many points against a team that has a winning record. Houston’s four-game winning streak hasn't exactly been impressive. It’s featured victories over only sub-.500 teams that have a combined 10-18 record. Deshaun Watson is banged up and the Texans have scored more than 22 points just once in seven games, making it difficult for them to beat the Dolphins by more than a touchdown.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (London)
Both teams are kind of a mess after nearly meeting in last year’s Super Bowl. The good news for Philadelphia is their starting quarterback is actually playing very well. The same can’t be said for Jacksonville, who benched Blake Bortles for Cody Kessler last week. The Jaguars’ defense isn’t the dominant force it was a season ago, and they are in big trouble if the unit can’t come close to regaining its 2017 form.
Prediction ATS: Philadelphia
Cleveland Browns (+8) at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Browns have been in every game except for one, starting with their Week 1 contest against the Steelers that ended in a tie. Pittsburgh will probably come away with the win, but Cleveland certainly has the ability to keep this within a touchdown. The Browns forced Ben Roethlisberger to turn the ball over left and right in their first matchup. The quarterback might struggle again when facing the defense that ranks first in opponents’ passer rating.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Denver Broncos (+10) at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are still the only team that hasn’t lost against the spread this season. With the way their offense continues to dominate, there’s little reason to pick against them until they lose. Kansas City is 3-0 at Arrowhead Stadium, winning each contest by double-digits. There’s no chance Case Keenum will be able to keep pace with Patrick Mahomes.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
New York Jets (+7.5) at Chicago Bears
Khalil Mack has not been the same player since he hurt his ankle two weeks ago, and as a result, Chicago’s defense hasn’t been nearly as good. Sam Darnold could play pretty well if he’s got a clean pocket for most of the game, just like Brock Osweiler and Tom Brady did against the Bears. Mitchell Trubisky has made some poor decisions in recent weeks, and a few more of those will keep the Jets in this game.
Prediction ATS: New York
Washington Redskins (PK) at New York Giants
The Giants have just one win in seven games, and they are 0-4 against teams that currently have losing records. Why would they beat the NFC East leaders? Washington is seventh in opponents’ yards per play, and they’ll have success against an offense that can’t get much going because of a bad quarterback and an offensive line that can’t protect him. Alex Smith will play well against a defense that’s 24th in opponents’ yards per play and recently lost two starters because of trades.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Seattle Seahawks (+3) at Detroit Lions
The Lions quietly have one of the NFL’s best offenses, scoring at least 24 points in each of their last six games. Detroit finally has a running game with Kerryon Johnson in the backfield, and Matthew Stafford has put up big numbers since a horrific start to the season in Week 1. The Lions lead the NFC in sacks, and they’ll have enough success against Seattle’s poor offensive line to prevent the Seahawks from keeping up with Detroit’s high-powered offense.
Prediction ATS: Detroit
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+4.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Despite what happened in Week 7, Tampa Bay is still one of the NFC’s worst teams and Cincinnati is a real playoff contender in the AFC. Andy Dalton will bounce back against a defense that’s allowing a league-worst 125.8 passer rating. Jameis Winston has thrown at least two interceptions in each of his last four games. The Bengals’ defense will look much better than it did against Patrick Mahomes.
Prediction ATS: Cincinnati
Baltimore Ravens (-2) at Carolina Panthers
Baltimore probably shouldn’t be favored at all in Carolina, let alone by two points. As good as the Ravens’ defense has been, there’s no way they would be eight-point favorites against the Panthers in Baltimore, which is what this betting line indicates. It’s not always pretty, but Cam Newton and Carolina’s defense find ways to win games, especially at home. The Panthers are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight home games. The Ravens are 2-2 on the road, losing to both the Browns and Bengals.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Indianapolis Colts (-3) at Oakland Raiders
Indianapolis is the better team, but it’s hard to pick them as a three-point road favorite in Oakland. Cincinnati and New England are the only two good offenses that the Colts have faced, and Indianapolis is still tied for 25th in points allowed per game. The Colts have nine turnovers in four road games. Oakland won their only home game in which they didn’t face the league’s best team.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
San Francisco 49ers (-1) at Arizona Cardinals
If there’s anyone that Arizona wants to face after getting blown out by 35 points at home, it might be the one team the Cardinals knows for certain they can beat. Arizona won by 10 points in San Francisco just a few weeks ago. Look for their anemic offense to get a spark with a change at offensive coordinator. The 49ers are 3-6 against the spread in their last 9 games against Arizona
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Green Bay Packers (+9.5) at Los Angeles Rams
The Rams’ offense is virtually unstoppable at home, where they’ve scored at least 34 points in all three games. The Packers’ defense has really only played well against mediocre quarterbacks, allowing Alex Smith, Matthew Stafford and Kirk Cousins to combine for eight touchdown passes, two interceptions and a passer rating well over 100. Aaron Rodgers might be able to keep Green Bay in this one for a while, but Los Angeles should pull away before it's over.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
New Orleans Saints (+1) at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota has to be the pick since a win guarantees they won’t lose against the spread. The Vikings are still one of the best teams in the NFC, even if their defense is banged up and hasn’t performed like a top unit. Kirk Cousins and Adam Thielen have helped give Minnesota one of the league’s most explosive offenses, and New Orleans remains awful against the pass. Sunday night’s game should be a shootout with the Vikings having a good chance to pull out the win at home, where Minnesota is 29-11-1 against the spread in their last 41 tries.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
New England Patriots (-14) at Buffalo Bills
You can’t lay two touchdowns on the road, even against Derek Anderson and the Bills. Buffalo’s defense has kept them in a few games, so it’s possible that they can prevent New England from completely having their way on offense. The Patriots have given up 31.7 points per game over the last three weeks, leaving the possibility of a backdoor cover late in the game.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Season Record: 51-51-5
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