NFL Week 9 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game
The two biggest favorites in Week 9 are both on the road, including the team with the best record against the spread in the NFL. With six teams on a bye, the upcoming schedule features 13 games and seven betting lines of a field goal or less.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 9 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Oakland Raiders (+3) at San Francisco 49ers
There seems to be a pretty good chance that 49ers’ quarterback Nick Mullens will make his NFL debut since C.J. Beathard is dealing with a sore wrist. As bad as the Raiders have been, they should be able to defeat an undrafted quarterback that’s never played a regular-season game before. Oakland has played bad teams closely, and they can steal a road win an hour away from their home stadium. San Francisco is 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
Detroit Lions (+4.5) at Minnesota Vikings
Detroit is one of the most difficult teams in the NFL to figure out. They’ve beaten both Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers while also losing to the Seahawks and Jets by a combined 45 points at home. Minnesota should take care of business at home against a defense that’s 26th in opponent’s yards per play and an offense that just traded its best receiver for a draft pick. Detroit has covered the spread eight times in their last 25 trips to Minnesota.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
Chicago Bears (-10) at Buffalo Bills
The Bears shouldn’t be laying 10 points on the road, no matter what quarterback they are facing. Chicago is 1-2 away from Soldier Field, barely surviving in Arizona to get their only road victory. Mitchell Trubisky has gotten away with some bad throws in the last few weeks, and he might not be so lucky in Buffalo against a solid Bills’ defense.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Carolina Panthers
Other than their disastrous performance in Chicago, Tampa Bay’s offense has been terrific under Ryan Fitzpatrick. He’s got the NFL’s best passer rating after nearly leading the Bucs to a comeback victory in Week 8. Carolina will likely win with the way Cam Newton and the Panthers’ defense is playing, but Fitzpatrick should keep Tampa Bay in this one for most of the way.
Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay
Kansas City Chiefs (-9) at Cleveland Browns
Firing the head coach and the offensive coordinator isn’t going to help the Browns keep up with the NFL’s highest-scoring team. Cleveland has scored 18 points or fewer in three of their last four games, and Kansas City hasn’t scored fewer than 27 points this season. The Chiefs are tied for second in sacks. Look for them to have a big afternoon against an offensive line that hasn’t protected Baker Mayfield too well.
Prediction AT: Kansas City
New York Jets (+3) at Miami Dolphins
Assuming Brock Osweiler is under center for the Dolphins, the Jets are probably the better team. Miami’s defense has been atrocious since getting off to a hot start against bad teams, ranking last in opponents’ yards per play over the last three weeks. New York has killed bad run defenses, and Miami is 25th in opponents’ yards per carry. If Sam Darnold can avoid throwing multiple interceptions as he has in each of the Jets’ three wins, New York can win this one outright.
Prediction ATS: New York
Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) at Baltimore Ravens
The Steelers have gotten their mojo back since losing at home to the Ravens, going on a three-game winning streak and defeating opponents by an average score of 34-19. Pittsburgh’s defense is quietly improving, which is a bad sign for Baltimore. Joe Flacco is back to performing like the mediocre quarterback we’ve become accustomed to seeing, ranking 25th with an 84.9 passer rating. The Ravens are 31st with 3.6 yards per carry.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at Washington Redskins
Maybe Washington isn’t as good as their 5-2 record might suggest, but they are at least as good as Atlanta. The Falcons’ defense is decimated, ranking 30th in yards allowed per play. The team has given up 4.93 yards per carry since they lost multiple defensive starters in the season opener. That’s going to be a problem against Adrian Peterson, who is averaging 112.2 rushing yards and 5.0 yards per carry in the Redskins’ five victories.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Los Angeles Chargers (+1.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle has looked like a playoff team since losing their first two games. They are finally healthy, and their only loss since Week 2 came by two points to the undefeated Rams. The Chargers have only been defeated by the Rams and Chiefs, though they did just barely beat the 49ers and Titans. Russell Wilson is playing well behind an improved offensive line, and Joey Bosa’s absence could be noticeable. Facing a team that’s tied for third in takeaways, maybe this is the week that Philip Rivers throws a couple of interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Houston Texans (+1) at Denver Broncos
This is a good matchup for the Broncos at home, where they only lost to the Rams and Chiefs by a combined seven points. Deshaun Watson has been hit more than any other quarterback behind probably the AFC’s worst offensive line. The Broncos are second in the league with 24 sacks. Demaryius Thomas is past his prime, and his impact on the game will be minimal after Denver traded him to Houston.
Prediction ATS: Denver
Los Angeles Rams (+1.5) at New Orleans Saints
This is where the Rams finally suffer their first loss. New Orleans’ offense is virtually unstoppable at home, and Los Angeles has given up an average of 28 points in four games against teams that rank higher 20th in points per game. The Saints have the league’s top run defense, and they might be able to slow down Todd Gurley just enough to pull out the victory.
Prediction ATS: New Orleans
Green Bay Packers (+6) at New England Patriots
The Patriots have been the best team in football since their 1-2 start. New England is on a five-game winning streak, scoring at least 38 points four times. Aaron Rodgers played well against the Rams in Week 8, but it was Green Bay’s defense that allowed the Packers to cover the spread. Don’t expect the unit to play that well on the road against a great offense for a second straight game.
Prediction ATS: New England
Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Even after trading for Amari Cooper, Dallas’ offense isn’t good enough for them to be favored by nearly seven points against Tennessee. The Titans were a two-point conversion away from defeating the Chargers in their last game, and they’ve been beaten by more than a score just once. Tennessee has an underrated defense, ranking 11th in both total defense and yards allowed per play. This should be a close, low-scoring contest that’s decided by only a few points.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
Season Record: 55-61-5
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