NFL Win Totals 2019: Best Bets Include Rams, Redskins, Bills For Over/Under Predictions

With the start of the 2019 NFL season just around the corner, four teams have projected win totals of 10 or more. Five teams have an over/under of six wins or fewer. The rest of the league is somewhere in between.

Here are the three best over/under NFL win total bets, based on the latest betting odds at New Jersey’s FanDuel Sportsbook:

Buffalo Bills Under 6.5 Wins (+155)

The juice on Buffalo’s over makes this an easy bet. The Bills have -186 odds to go above 6.5 wins, despite going just 6-10 in 2018. While it’s possible that Buffalo could be among the NFL’s surprise teams, there’s just as good of a chance that they won’t come close to making the playoffs.

New England is going to run away with the AFC East, as they always do. Miami doesn’t seem to have much interest in winning, aiming for a high draft pick. That likely means either the Jets or Bills will have a decent 2019 campaign and finish in second place. With several high-priced additions in free agency and a more steady young quarterback than Buffalo, New York is a much safer bet to have a winning record.

Josh Allen has a ton to prove after his rookie season. The quarterback was arguably the league’s worst passer, completing 52.8 percent of his attempts with 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions for a 67.9 passer rating. He isn’t likely to be very accurate in 2019, and the Bills’ offense will be in trouble if Allen can’t be a historically good running quarterback. We’ll see how much better the offensive line will be with four new starters.

Buffalo will win games because of their defense. With +155 odds, it's worth risking that the defense won’t be good enough to help the Bills avoid a 10-loss season.

Washington Redskins Under 6 Wins (-120)

The Redskins are very likely to finish at the bottom of the NFC East, where the last-place team has won fewer than six games in seven of the last eight years. With four games against the Eagles and Cowboys, as well as matchups with the Patriots, Bears, Vikings and Packers on the schedule, Washington is in for a long season.

With Trent Williams holding out, the Redskins’ offensive line could be a mediocre unit in 2019. Washington doesn’t have a legitimate No.1 receiver on the roster. Case Keenum, already one of the NFL’s worst starting quarterbacks, is not being put in a position to succeed. Don’t be surprised if he’s benched by mid-October after a difficult part of the schedule. Dwayne Haskins is going to have plenty of growing pains before becoming a reliable starter.

There isn’t much to get excited about when it comes to Washington’s defense. Landon Collins was a nice offseason addition, but the secondary won’t be better than an average unit. The Redskins’ pass rush isn’t exactly elite, and two of the team’s best linebackers left in free agency. Jay Gruden has never coached a defense that ranked higher than 17th, and this year won’t be any different.

Washington’s season could be in shambles at the time of their Week 10 bye, potentially with a new head coach and starting quarterback. The Redskins are one of the NFC’s two worst teams, making -120 a small price to pay for a strong under bet.

Los Angeles Rams Over 10.5 Wins (+120)

Betting on a team to win more than 10 games is usually a risky proposition, but that’s not the case with the 2019 Rams. Los Angeles is almost guaranteed to be a double-digit win team under Sean McVay, who led the Rams to a 13-3 record in 2018 after winning 11 games as a rookie head coach in 2017.

The Rams have led the NFC in scoring in each of the past two seasons. Jared Goff has arguably the league’s best wide receiving corps at his disposal. Even a mediocre quarterback could engineer a good offense in McVay’s system. Aaron Donald is undoubtedly the NFL’s best defensive player. L.A.’s secondary has 13 Pro-Bowl selections.

Only the Patriots have a bigger edge over the rest of their division than the Rams. The Cardinals are probably headed for another high draft pick. We still don’t know if Jimmy Garoppolo can lead the 49ers to a winning season. Russell Wilson will keep the Seahawks in contention, though the rest of Seattle’s roster leaves much to be desired.

The Rams are the clear pick to win the NFC West. The division winner has had five losses or fewer in eight straight seasons.