Packers vs. Bills Prediction: Can Green Bay Upset Buffalo? Aaron Rodgers Is Biggest NFL Underdog

The Week 8 "Sunday Night Football" matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills was supposed to be one of the best games in the entire 2022 NFL season. Instead, the contest is projected to be a one-sided affair.

The Bills start Week 8 as 10.5-point favorites over the visiting Packers, according to the betting odds at various sportsbooks. The game features the largest point spread on the upcoming schedule, and it marks the first time in Aaron Rodgers' career that he is a double-digit underdog.

Green Bay started the season as one of the favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. After seven weeks and a 3-4 record, it seems pretty clear that this team isn't on the same level as the Packers' teams that won NFC North championships in each of the last three years.

The decision to trade Davante Adams in the offseason has left Rodgers without a reliable No. 1 wide receiver. Allen Lazard is Green Bay's leading receiver, and he isn't on pace for a 1,000-yard season. Lazard suffered a shoulder injury in Green Bay's Week 7 loss, potentially giving Rodgers even fewer options against one of the league's best defenses.

Rodgers has a 94.9 passer rating, which is good for eighth among all starting quarterbacks. In his back-to-back MVP seasons, Rodgers' 121.5 and 111.9 passer ratings were the best in the league. Rodgers is averaging 228.1 passing yards per game, the lowest mark of his career.

Rodgers was limited to 194 passing yards in Green Bay's 23-21 defeat at the hands of the Washington Commanders. It extended the Packers' losing streak to three games and might've signaled that Green Bay doesn't have what it takes to be a contender this season.

The Packers are 0-3 against teams that entered Week 7 with a record above .500. Green Bay hasn't scored more than 27 points in any of their seven games.

Buffalo's 5-1 record is still the best in the AFC after its Week 7 bye. With an extra week to prepare for Rodgers and Green Bay' struggling offense, the Bills are expected to cruise to yet another victory.

The Bills' only loss of the season was a 21-19 defeat on the road against the Miami Dolphins. Buffalo outgained Miami by 285 yards in the loss. In their other five games, the Bills have beaten their opponents by an average 19.4 points.

Buffalo has already beaten the Kansas City Chiefs and the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams on the road. At home, the Bills have outscored their opponents 79-10 for a 2-0 record at Highmark Stadium.

The Bills rank first in both total offense and total defense. They haven't given up more than 21 points in any game, despite having faced Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Josh Allen is the clear MVP favorite with 1,980 passing yards, 17 passing touchdowns, four interceptions and 257 rushing touchdowns in six games.

Based on the way they've played in the first half of the season, there's little evidence to suggest that the Packers have much chance to beat the Bills in primetime.

Prediction: Buffalo over Green Bay, 30-17