RIM PlayBook Launch Expectations
Launching April 19, PlayBook is expected to stake its own ground in the Tablet market - after a modest start.
The $499 PlayBook is launching April 19 at Best Buy and other retailers in the U.S. and Canada. Distribution will subsequently expand to 20,000 stores including AT&T, Verizon, and Sprint.
According to a survey conducted by RBC Capital Markets, 12 percent of BlackBerry users are planning to buy a PlayBook. This may affirm RIM's strategy of first focusing on its BlackBerry base.
Attractive features cited in PlayBook include Rich Browsing/Flash, personal email, Office integration and Android app compatibility.
Rather than offer 3G wireless or standalone email/PIM (calendar, contacts, etc.), the first-gen Wi-Fi PlayBook uses BlackBerry Bridge to securely view the users' BlackBerry email/PIM.
RIM may have done this to accelerate time-to-market, offering 3G connectivity via Bridge vs. delaying the launch for 3G/4G carrier certification (expected in the second half/calendar 2011).
Meanwhile, 52 percent of surveyed PlayBook buyers plan to buy 2-6 months out; BlackBerry users and businesses are typically slower to adopt, and some may wait for 3G/4G and more available apps.
Thus, while retail store checks show modest pre-orders, in our view uptake over the first 6 months (including 3G/4G, Android compatibility) may be a better measure of PlayBook's success, RBC Capital Markets analyst Mike Abramsky wrote in a note to clients.
Abramsky said the first-gen PlayBook is expected to differentiate on its performance, full web/Flash, state of the art hardware/display, multitasking, enterprise level security, and 7 portability.
While it may face early criticism for no 3G/4G, lack of standalone email/PIM, and limited apps, we expect these concerns will become non-issues with subsequent enhancements and second-gen versions, Abramsky said.
After a modest start, Playbook - once it launches 3G/4G versions and enhancements - is expected to garner growing uptake and help improve sentiment, the analyst said.
Abramsky has an Top Pick rating and $90 price target on RIM stock.
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