Trump, Clinton Poll Numbers: Pennsylvania, North Carolina And Other Swing States Still Up For Grabs?

UPDATED: 9:25 p.m. EDT — A poll of New Hampshire voters indicates Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton 45 percent to 43 percent. The poll by the New Hampshire Journal/Inside Sources indicates the bulk of Clinton’s support comes from women while Trump’s support is split equally among men and women.

UPDATE: 7:30 p.m. EDT — A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Monday indicates Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 44 percent to 39 percent among likely voters in the presidential race. The poll taken Oct. 26-30 queried 1,264 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

Original story

The Clinton campaign Monday was reeling from word the FBI had reopened the inquiry into her private email server as the latest national polls showed a dead heat in the presidential contest between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump with the election less than eight days away.

In the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, Clinton held a slim 2-point lead but Trump held 2-point and 7-point edges in North Carolina and Georgia, respectively. Clinton had a 1-point lead in Colorado while Trump led by 4 points in Nevada.

The campaign was in its final week before the Nov. 8 balloting.

The FBI has begun examining emails found on a computer belonging to disgraced former New York Congressman Anthony Weiner, whose estranged wife, Huma Abedin, is a close aide to Clinton. FBI Director James Comey, who earlier had said investigators had closed the email server investigation without recommending charges, notified Congress Friday the inquiry had been reopened as a result of emails found on Weiner’s computer as part of the investigation into his alleged sexting to an underage North Carolina girl.

Comey’s letter reignited the Trump campaign, which had been hammered by charges he forced himself on women, with the real estate mogul calling the email server scandal “bigger than Watergate.”

The disclosure is having an impact on Clinton’s polling numbers.

The Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California tracking pollMonday gave Trump a 4-point lead over Clinton, 47 percent to 43 percent, up two points from Sunday’s results. Trump’s support comes from voters 18 to 34 and over 65, as well as those without college degrees. Trump also is drawing support from those who make more than $35,000 annually and men. The poll queries 400 participants a day. It has been tracking voter sentiment since July 4.

The ABC/Washington Post tracking poll indicated Clinton has a 1-point lead over Trump, 46 percent to 45 percent, but Clinton’s unfavorability rating soared to 60 percent, with Trump supporters nearly unanimous in their antipathy. Clinton’s supporters also are losing enthusiasm as a result of the Comey revelations. Those enthusiastic about her campaign fell to 47 percent from 51 percent the previous six nights. The poll queried 1,165 likely voters Oct. 26-29 and has an error rate of 3 points.

The Investor’s Business Daily/TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence poll had Clinton ahead by a point, 45 percent to 44 percent. Clinton’s greatest support comes from the West while Trump is strongest in the South. Half of women support Clinton while half of men support Trump. Among black and Hispanic voters, Clinton is claiming 70 percent support. Clinton also is running strongest in urban areas; Trump’s strength is in rural areas. The results are based on the responses of 993 voters queried Oct. 25-30. It has an error rate of 3.2 percentage points.

Rasmussen Reports indicated Clinton was ahead of Trump, 45 percent to 42 percent, Monday. The candidates were tied at 45 percent apiece Friday. Eight-six percent of the 1,500 likely voters queried said they had made up their minds about how they’re voting. Among them, 49 percent said they favored Clinton and 47 percent favored Trump. The survey, conducted Oct. 26-30, had a margin of error of 2.5 points.

The Economist/YouGov poll gives Clinton a 5 point edge, 46 percent to 41 percent. The poll of 1,376 registered voters was conducted Oct. 22-26 and has an error rate of 3.1 points. Thirty-one percent of those polled said they expect Clinton will win by a landslide; only 9 percent said they expect Trump to pull off a landslide.

A survey of Pennsylvania voters by Remington Research Group indicates Clinton leads Trump 45 percent to 43 percent, with Clinton carrying Philadelphia 58 percent to 35 percent and Trump leading in Pittsburgh, 49 percent to 40 percent. Twenty electoral votes are at stake.

In North Carolina, Remington indicated Trump is leading 47 percent to 45 percent. Trump’s support is concentrated in Charlotte and Greenville while Clinton polls better in Raleigh. Fifteen electoral votes are at stake.

Among Georgia voters polled by WXIA-TV (Atlanta)/Survey USA Trump has widened his lead to 7 points, 49 percent to 42 percent. The margin is nearly double what it was in August when Trump had a 4-point edge. The poll was taken before Friday’s announcement by Comey. Fewer than half of voters are bothered by Trump’s history with women and his refusal to release his income taxes. The survey was conducted Oct. 25-27. Sixteen electoral votes are at stake.

Colorado voters favor Clinton 45 percent to 44 percent, Remington found, with Clinton leading in both Denver and Colorado Springs. Nine electoral votes are at stake.

Remington gives a 4-point edge to Trump in Nevada, 48 percent to 44 percent. The poll indicates the candidates are tied in Las Vegas at 46 percent apiece. Trump leads in Reno, 54 percent to 39 percent. Six electoral votes are at stake.