Trump, Clinton Poll Numbers: Who Leads Among Young Voters? Are More Young Women Voting? Gary Johnson Taking Votes From Hillary?
Following the third presidential debate and the revolving door of sexual-assault allegations against Donald Trump, Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton has built a strong lead in most national polls ahead of Election Day.
Clinton has recently received strong support from young voters, especially women. She has also seen a major bump in her previously troubling favorability numbers. Additionally, young voter turnout is overall trending slightly higher than 2012’s election, Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP) said in a press release Wednesday.
The new poll, conducted Oct. 7 and 17 (before the second debate and right until the third on Oct. 19), shows Clinton leading Trump among likely voters 49 percent to an astonishing 21 percent in a four-way race that also includes Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein.
Trump's dip among young voters is troubling for his campaign, which most recent other polls show is dwindling other than in his main uneducated white male base.
Forty-nine percent of 18 to 29-year-olds, the IOP poll's central demographic, indicate they will “definitely be voting,” —a 1 percent increase from 2012. Meanwhile, 51 percent of women voters in the demo said they will be voting, a significant 6 percent bump compared to four years ago, the poll found.
It also revealed young voters have a relatively bleak outlook towards the U.S., with 51 percent feeling “fearful,” compared to 20 percent being “hopeful.” Also, 11 percent remain undecided, a cross-section that perhaps Trump could attempt to capitalize on.
"Young voters are fearful about the future of America, and that is moving them to action. I am hopeful that the next president and leaders in Congress will empower and engage them after the election to move our country forward," IOP polling director John Della Volpe said in a statement.
The poll heavily indicated that Johnson’s chances of being a “spoiler” for Clinton, a criticism he recently railed against, may be fading. Of the 14 percent of likely voters expressing support for the former New Mexico governor, 37 percent said they could still change their mind before Nov. 8.
Trump, who's severely shaken the Republican Party to its very core and divided its top brass over the last year and a half, has seen his run at the White House significantly stutter towards the finish line and he's put traditionally right-leaning states during national elections, like Arizona and Texas, in play for Clinton.
However, Trump has quickly taken advantage and repeatedly hammered President Barack Obama, the Democrats, and Clinton over the expected 25 percent, on average, bump in ObamaCare premiums. The campaign issued a full email blast Tuesday saying “Obamacare’s failure hits swing states hard” and specifically “from Arizona to Wisconsin,” according to Fox News.
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