KEY POINTS

  • Three Democratic senators in Red States will likely vote to acquit Trump
  • Trump's impeachment trail will start next week
  • Trump’s likely acquittal will follow the trial

The fate of the upcoming impeachment trial of president Donald Trump in the Senate in 2020 puts a spotlight on three Democratic senators known to be the most "Trump-aligned" Democrats.

Democrats Doug Jones of Alabama, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona and Joe Manchin of West Virginia have a record of siding with Trump more times than their colleagues. Counting the times they've supported Trump and his White House makes Manchin the most Trump-aligned Democrat, Sinema the second most and Jones, the third most, a Trump Score tracker revealed.

Manchin counts Trump as a friend. He voted for attorney-general William Barr and Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. He supported Trump 31 percent of the time during the 116th Congress. Sinema supported Trump's position 21 percent of the time.

The three were the only Democrats that voted to confirm Barr as attorney-general. Jones, Sinema and Manchin will likely be the only Democrats that will vote to acquit Trump in the Senate impeachment trials in 2020, according to FiveThirtyEight.

"I'm very much torn on it," Manchin said about the Senate trial to CNN. "I think it weighs on everybody."

"We have a divided country. On the other hand, we have equal branch of governments, responsibilities in the Constitution. There are a lot of things at stake here. The future of our country. And the future of how we're able to do our business depends on how we handle this."

It will take the vote of 67 senators to unseat Trump. There are 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats in the Senate. The acquittal votes from Manchin, Sinema and Jones will mean 56 votes to acquit and 44 to indict.

Jones, Sinema and Manchin are Blue senators in Red States. The two latter senators aren't up for reelection in 2020, but may likely want to keep their brand as "separate from the broader Democratic Party," FiveThirtyEight noted. As for Jones, he knows that presidential and U.S. Senate voting is joined at the hip. That is to say, no U.S. Senate candidate won in a state where his or her party’s presidential nominee lost. This was made starkly evident in 2016.

The possible loss of these three senators in the Democratic Party's crusade to unseat Trump could mean failure for effort.

Next week, the Democrat-controlled House will vote on -- and likely adopt -- two articles of impeachment: abuse of power and obstructing Congress. This vote will trigger a trial in the Republican-controlled Senate in January.

Trump wants a number of witnesses to be called. Among these witnesses are the whistleblower that ignited the impeachment inquiry, Hunter Biden and Joe Biden.

On the other hand, Senate Republicans have made known their preference for a short trial without the need to call witnesses. They say there's an early consensus within their caucus for a short impeachment trial. In this scenario, the Senate will then vote on a likely acquittal of President Donald Trump without hearing from any witnesses. This goes against Trump's wishes for a showy public trial.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) said a growing number of GOP senators want to simply let House Democrats make their case to impeach the president. Republicans will hear a rebuttal from Trump’s team. After this, the GOP senators will vote immediately on the articles of impeachment. Trump’s likely acquittal will follow.

Sen. Joe Manchin
Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia Reuters