Update: Betting Odds Pulled For Supreme Court Justice Vote
Update: After Sen. Mitt Romney said Tuesday he intends to vote on a new Supreme Court Justice if a nominee reaches the Senate floor, betting odds for when a Supreme Court vote will happen have been pulled from BetOnline.
Original Story:
Don’t expect there to be a vote for the next Supreme Court Justice by Election Day, the oddsmakers say.
Despite the push by Republicans to replace the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg before Nov. 3, the betting odds suggest her seat will remain vacant by then. The odds of a vote happening by the presidential election are +550, according to the online sportsbook BetOnline.
The odds that a Supreme Court Justice vote won’t happen by Election Day are -1000.
A bettor who puts $100 on a vote not happening by the election can only make a $10 profit. If someone makes a $100 wager that there will be a vote for the next justice by then, they can win up to $550 because the scenario is considered to be so unlikely.
The odds of a Supreme Court Justice vote not happening by Inauguration Day are -400. BetOnline has set to odds of there being a vote by the Jan. 20 presidential inauguration at +250.
One woman stands out as the top contender to be nominated for the vacant Supreme Court seat left by the late Ginsburg.
Amy Coney Barrett is the heavy betting favorite to be President Donald Trump’s Supreme Court Justice nominee. The U.S. Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals Judge has -250 odds.
One night after Ginsburg passed away at 87 years old, Trump said he would nominate a woman to the Supreme Court by the end of this week.
Barbara Lagoa, a judged for the 11 U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, is the only other candidate who’s considered much of a threat to get the nomination, according to oddsmakers. Lagoa has +125 odds to be nominated by Trump.
Justice Joan Larsen is third on the list of potential candidates and a long shot nominee with +1200 odds. She’s followed by Allison Rushing (+1500) and Britt Grant (+2500)
Amul Thapar has +3300 odds to be nominated by Trump.
Bettors can wager that Trump will pivot and nominate a man to the Supreme Court. Judge Thomas Hardiman has +5000 odds. He’s followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (+7500) and Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton (+10000).
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