Who Will Win The New Hampshire Primary? Polls Show Trump, Sanders In The Lead

After more than a week of rallies and stops in coffee shops across New Hampshire, voters head to the polls Tuesday in the nation’s first primary. Following a win for Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses last week and a tight race for Democrats that gave former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton a slight edge, here’s a look at the latest polls out of the Granite State before candidates turn their attention to South Carolina and Nevada.

The Republicans

While the Iowa caucuses gave Cruz a win, businessman Donald Trump and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio were only a few percentage points behind. Trump has the lead in several polls heading into the New Hampshire primary. For example, a UMass Lowell/WHDH-TV, Boston, poll conducted Feb. 5-7 with 464 likely Republican primary voters and a margin of error of 5.13 percentage points gave the businessman 35 percent support from likely Republican voters. Rubio came in second with 12 percent support, followed by Cruz with 11 percent. Ohio Gov. John Kasich was in fourth with 9 percent support. Eight percent of voters were still undecided.

In a Monmouth University poll, Trump also led the pack with 30 percent support followed by Kasich with 14 percent, Rubio with 13 percent and Bush with 13 percent. Cruz came in with 12 percent support. The poll surveyed 508 likely Republican voters Feb. 4-6 with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. Only 49 percent of Republican voters said they had completely decided on the candidate they would cast their ballot for.

The Democrats

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has a big lead in the polls against Clinton in New Hampshire. In the UMass Lowell/WHDH-TV, Boston, poll of 407 likely Democratic voters with a 5.52 percentage point margin of error, Sanders had the support of 60 percent of registered voters to Clinton’s 36 percent. About 2 percent of voters said they were still undecided.

In the Monmouth University poll that surveyed 502 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points, Sanders had 52 percent support compared with Clinton’s 42 percent. About 60 percent of Democrats said they were already decided.

“Sanders is sitting in the driver’s seat heading into the last few days before New Hampshire voters head to the polls,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, in a press release, said.