Will Aaron Judge Break The HR Record? Odds Yankees' Star Won't Hit 62 Home Runs

When Aaron Judge hit his 60th home run of the season on Sept. 20, it seemed inevitable that the New York Yankees' star would surpass Roger Maris' American League record of 61 homers. One week later, Judge is no closer to 62 home runs, raising doubt about his chances to set a new mark.

The outfielder is still more likely than not to set a new mark, despite his seven-game homerless streak.

Judge has -425 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook to finish the 2022 season with at least 62 home runs. Judge has +310 odds to hit 61 home runs or fewer.

Nine consecutive games is the longest stretch that Judge has gone without hitting a home run this season. The Yankees have eight games left on the schedule.

After New York plays on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday night, the team returns home for a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees are scheduled to conclude the regular season with a four-game series on the road against the Texas Rangers.

Only four stadiums have featured more home runs per game this season than Texas' Choctaw Stadium.

Even though he hasn't been hitting balls over the fence, Judge has remained one of the league's most productive hitters over the last week. In 31 plate appearances since his last home run, Judge has reached base 17 times. Judge has 12 walks during that span, including four free passes Tuesday in Toronto.

Mitch White is the Blue Jays' probable starting pitcher against the Yankees Wednesday. In 91.1 innings this season between Toronto and the Los Angeles Dodgers, White has allowed eight home runs and a 5.12 ERA.

Judge has two singles in two career at-bats against White. The AL MVP favorite has +205 odds to hit a home run and tie Maris' record Wednesday in Toronto.

Judge leads the AL in all three Triple Crown categories. Kyle Schwarber's 42 home runs are the second-most in baseball.

Barry Bonds' single-season MLB record of 73 home runs has long been out of reach for Judge.