Bitcoin fall, Bitcoin drop
The world's largest cryptocurrency dropped about 3% to $69,342 in Friday morning trading, putting it on course for a sixth consecutive weekly loss. AFP

Bitcoin fell below $70,000 Friday for the first time since August, extending a selloff that has wiped out more than a fifth of its value since late September. The latest decline comes as Michael Saylor's Strategy faces a new challenge after index provider MSCI decided to remove the company from its benchmarks, raising concerns about potential investment outflows.

The world's largest cryptocurrency dropped about 3% to $69,342 in Friday morning trading, putting it on course for a sixth consecutive weekly loss. Bitcoin has fallen more than 21% from its late-September highs, while Ethereum slipped 3.2% to around $1,951, its lowest level in three months, according to market figures reported by The Wall Street Journal.

The weakness comes after weeks of selling across digital assets, with investors growing increasingly concerned about persistent U.S. inflation and the possibility of further interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve.

Higher interest rates generally make riskier investments less attractive, particularly assets such as Bitcoin that do not generate regular income. Recent declines in technology and artificial intelligence stocks have added to the pressure, prompting some investors to reduce their exposure to speculative assets.

Demand from cryptocurrency investment funds has also weakened. U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded nearly $300 million in net outflows Wednesday, marking a fifth consecutive day of withdrawals and bringing the total to approximately $1.44 billion since the beginning of the selling streak, according to data from SoSoValue.

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust accounted for about $270 million of Wednesday's outflows, extending its run of redemptions to nine consecutive trading sessions.

The withdrawals are significant because spot Bitcoin ETFs have become an important channel for institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without holding it directly.

The broader market selloff has also put pressure on companies whose business models depend heavily on Bitcoin.

Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, faces another setback after MSCI confirmed Wednesday that it would remove the company from its equity indexes at the end of the month.

The decision followed a review of companies whose activities more closely resemble investment funds than traditional operating businesses.

In its November index review, MSCI said the changes would be implemented after the market closes on Nov. 30.

Strategy pioneered the corporate Bitcoin treasury model, using proceeds from stock and debt offerings to accumulate large quantities of the cryptocurrency.

The approach helped make its shares a popular alternative for investors seeking Bitcoin exposure through the stock market. However, it also left the company heavily exposed to fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices and its ability to raise new capital.

MSCI's decision creates an additional concern because funds tracking affected indexes will need to adjust their portfolios once the changes take effect.

Strategy previously estimated that exclusion could result in approximately $2.8 billion of its shares being sold.

The potential impact could be considerably larger if other index providers follow MSCI. Analysts at J.P. Morgan estimated that Strategy could face outflows of up to $8.8 billion under that scenario, Reuters reported.

The figure represents a conditional estimate rather than confirmed selling. MSCI's decision does not itself require Strategy to sell any of its Bitcoin holdings.

Other companies affected by the index changes include Japan's Metaplanet, another corporate Bitcoin holder, and British uranium investment company Yellow Cake.

The decision raises questions about how stock indexes should classify businesses that primarily accumulate investment assets rather than generate revenue through conventional operations.

For Strategy, the timing is particularly difficult because Bitcoin's falling price has brought the cryptocurrency below the company's previously disclosed average purchase cost.

In its latest quarterly results, Strategy reported holding approximately 848,517 Bitcoin as of Oct. 25, acquired at a total cost of $64.02 billion.

That represented an average purchase price of roughly $75,446 per Bitcoin, higher than the cryptocurrency's trading price Friday morning.

The comparison does not establish the company's current unrealized gains or losses, since its holdings and average acquisition cost may have changed since the reporting date.

Strategy also disclosed that it had raised $21.23 billion in capital during the first nine months of the year, demonstrating the scale of its financing activities as it continued expanding its Bitcoin holdings.

The company's business model depends partly on its ability to access equity and debt markets on favorable terms. A sustained decline in its share price or reduced demand from index-tracking investors could make future fundraising more challenging.

The pressure extends beyond Strategy. Other publicly traded companies that accumulated digital assets have faced increased scrutiny as investors reassess the risks of using corporate balance sheets to hold large cryptocurrency portfolios.

Bitcoin's latest decline also comes ahead of another important week for U.S. monetary policy, with investors watching inflation figures and Federal Reserve commentary for clues about the direction of interest rates.

Strategy's next significant deadline is Nov. 30, when MSCI implements its index changes. The actual impact on the company's shares will depend on how index-tracking funds rebalance their holdings and whether other benchmark providers adopt similar exclusions.