Chiefs vs. Bengals 2022 Odds: Point Spread, Over/Under Movement For AFC Championship Game

There’s been some notable changes in the betting odds for Sunday’s matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals. The line movement suggests that there could be a ton of points scored in the 2022 AFC Championship Game.

The over/under in Kansas City jumped up to 54.5 after opening at 50.5 at BetMGM. Other sportsbooks that made the Chiefs seven-point favorites have bumped up the point spread to 7.5 points just two days before the game kicks off.

If the AFC title game is anything like their first meeting, Kansas City and Cincinnati could blow past the betting total. The Bengals beat the Chiefs 34-31 in Week 17. Joe Burrow threw for four touchdowns and 446 yards, 266 of which went to Ja’Marr Chase.

Chase’s receiving yards prop for Sunday has skyrocketed from 82.5 yards to 90.5 yards at BetMGM. The betting public expects a big afternoon from the rookie receiver.

Burrow is 5-0 in his last five starts, completing 75.3% of his attempts and averaging 344 yards per game. The quarterback’s passing yards prop at BetMGM is 290.5 yards.

Cincinnati has only scored 45 points in two playoff games, Kansas City nearly reached that mark in each of its playoff wins. After blowing out the Pittsburgh Steelers 42-21 in the wild-card round, the Chiefs outlasted the Buffalo Bills 42-36 in an overtime thriller.

The over/under for Kansas City’s divisional playoff game was also 54.5.

In seven of the eight career home playoff games started by Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City has scored at least 31 points. Mahomes has 23 passing touchdowns and only one interception at Arrowhead Stadium in the postseason.

Sunday is Kansas City’s fourth straight AFC Championship Game at home. The New England Patriots beat the Chiefs 37-31 in 2019. In 2020, Kansas City beat the Tennessee Titans 35-24. A year ago, the Chiefs beat the Bills 38-24 to clinch a trip to the Super Bowl.

In the regular season, Kansas City and Cincinnati scored a combined 56.3 points per game. They gave up 43.5 total points per game.

With four teams left in the 2022 playoffs, the Chiefs are the clear Super Bowl favorites. The Bengals are the closest thing to a Super Bowl long shot with nearly 9/1 odds to win the NFL’s championship.