KEY POINTS

  • In a new poll, Trump leads Biden, Sanders and Warren in the swing state of Iowa.
  • His lead over Pete Buttigeig has fallen to only 1%.
  • Biden holds commanding leads over Sanders and Warren in delegate rich California and Texas.

President Donald Trump has gained ground among voters in the swing state of Iowa, where support for his impeachment has also fallen.

The Dec. 7-10 poll from WHDH 7 News/Emerson College Polling shows Trump increasing his lead over Democratic front runner Joe Biden but losing his edge over South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigeig, who now appears a more formidable threat to Trump in the Hawkeye State.

Trump won Iowa in the 2016 presidential race. Former president Barack Obama won in Iowa by large margins in both 2008 and 2012.

The latest WHDH 7 News/Emerson College poll sees Trump leading Biden among registered Iowa voters 49 percent to 45 percent. Trump enjoyed a two point lead over Biden in the previous poll taken in October.

In the new poll, Trump leads Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), 50 percent to 43 percent and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) 50 to her 43 percent. Trump's narrowest margin was against Buttigieg, whom Trump led by only one point, 46 percent to 45 percent.

The data suggests Trump has made gains in Iowa since the last Emerson poll in October which found Sanders narrowly ahead of Trump by two points, 51 to 49 percent. On the other hand, Trump saw a two-point lead over both Warren and Biden.

The impeachment drama in Washington D.C. might have something to do with Trump's surge, said Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson Polling. He said "one potential explanation for Trump's improvement in Iowa is the Democrats’ inability to make the impeachment issue resonate more with voters as we saw a drop in both importance and support since October."

Opposition to Trump's impeachment rose slightly in Iowa. The poll shows half of Iowa voters opposing Trump's impeachment compared to 48 percent in October. On the other hand, 38 percent say they want Trump impeached, down from 42.

US President Donald Trump (left) and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, pictured at their last meeting in May 2017, where Trump was accused of sharing classified information
US President Donald Trump (left) and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, pictured at their last meeting in May 2017, where Trump was accused of sharing classified information RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY / HO

Biden remains the favorite among Democrats for the party's presidential candidate. He leads the race with 23 percent of Iowa caucus voters choosing him. Closely behind him is Sanders with 22 percent. Buttigieg is third at 18 percent, while Warren is fourth at 12 percent.

Warren's poll numbers depict a large loss in support from the October poll, which found her tied with Biden for the lead at 23 percent. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) seems to have made gains at Warren's expense. Her poll number now stands at 10 percent compared to just 1 percent in October.

Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) took 4 percent of voters. Billionaire Tom Steyer stood at 3 percent. Former New York City mayor and billionaire Michael Bloomberg (who filed his candidacy only on November 21), Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) and entrepreneur Andrew Yang have 2 percent each.

Biden, Sanders and Warren, who remain household names among Democrats, still remain the top favorites for the party's nominees in CNN polls conducted by SSRS in California and Texas. The duo are the most delegate-rich states out of the 14 states plus American Samoa to hold primaries or caucuses on March 3, which is also called Super Tuesday.

These 15 locations have a combined 1,344 delegates. Of this total, 415 are in California and 228 in Texas.

Biden, Sanders and Warren currently lead in California with 21, 20 and 17 percent of the vote, respectively, according to the new poll. Buttigieg stands at 9 percent and Bloomberg at 5 percent.

Biden is doing well among Latino voters with 27 percent wanting him as the nominee. But Sanders was close behind with 25.

Biden also has a large edge among the state's older Democratic voters (37 percent age 65 and up back him), while Sanders is tops among voters under age 45 (32 percent in that group back him). Warren does better among college graduates (23 percent favor her vs. 11 percent among those without degrees), and women (20 percent support her vs. 12 percent among men).

Biden is also Texas' choice as the Democratic nominee with 35 percent in his favor. He enjoys a massive 20 point edge over Sanders with 15. Warren is third, Bloomberg is at 5 percent, helped by his huge $100 million ad spend on TV.

Biden holds huge leads across nearly every major demographic divide among those likely to vote in Texas. Voters see Biden as best able to handle each of five key issues of concern to them.

The former Vice President also instills the highest enthusiasm among Texas' likely Democratic primary voters. The poll shows 44 percent saying they'll be extremely enthusiastic about a Biden nomination. On the other hand, 38 percent said they're enthusiastic for Sanders, 31 percent for Warren and 23 percent for Buttigieg.

Asked by a reporter about being in the lead in Texas despite Bloomberg's massive spend, Biden answered: "Michael, keep spending."

Onetime Democratic presidential hopeful Senator Kamala Harris, shown here debating on stage with (from L) Senator Cory Booker,  Senator Bernie Sanders and former US vice president Joe Biden
Onetime Democratic presidential hopeful Senator Kamala Harris, shown here debating on stage with (from L) Senator Cory Booker, Senator Bernie Sanders and former US vice president Joe Biden AFP / SAUL LOEB