NFL 2019 Week 11 Predictions: Best Over/Under Picks, Latest Betting Totals
The Baltimore Ravens trail only the Kansas City Chiefs with six overs in the 2019 NFL season. The Washington Redskins, Los Angeles Rams and Chicago Bears are among the best under bets through 10 weeks.
Below are the five best over/under picks in Week 11 with the latest betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Game totals are courtesy of OddsShark.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Over 51.5
A game featuring two top-5 MVP candidates and a pair of disappointing defenses, the total could soar past 50. Deshaun Watson is fourth in the NFL with a 107.1 passer rating, leading an offense that’s averaging 32 points over the last five games. Lamar Jackson is having a historic season with a 101.7 passer rating and 702 rushing yards in nine games. The Ravens are first in points per game, second in yards per game and third in yards per play. Neither team ranks in the top-20 in opponents’ yards per play.
New York Jets vs. Washington Redskins Under 38.5
The final score hasn’t surpassed 33 points in each of the last four Redskins’ games. Washington has scored 16 points or fewer in seven straight games, failing to reach double digits five times during that stretch. The streak might not end soon with Dwayne Haskins throwing for 284 yards, four interceptions and no touchdowns in his 44 attempts as a rookie. Before the Jets scored 34 points against the Giants, the team averaged 14.6 points in Sam Darnold’s five starts.
Denver Broncos vs. Minnesota Vikings Over 40.5
Between how well Minnesota’s offense is playing and the way their defense has struggled somewhat over the last month, this game should be in the 40s. The Vikings have won five of their last six games, scoring an average of 29.7 points per game. Minnesota has surrendered at least 20 points in four of their last five contests. Brandon Allen exceeded expectations in his NFL debut, leading Denver past Cleveland 24-19. The Broncos have given up 24 points per game against the top-five offenses on their schedule.
Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers Under 45
Expect a lower scoring contest than San Francisco’s 28-25 win in Arizona a few weeks ago. The Cardinals needed a late 88-yard touchdown pass to make that a close game. In three other games against top-23 scoring defenses, Arizona is averaging 13 points per game. The 49ers haven’t allowed more than 25 points in regulation, and the team still has the NFL’s No.2 defense. Jimmy Garoppolo continues to be inconsistent. San Francisco is 18th in yards per play. George Kittle is out and Emmanuel Sanders is a game-time decision.
Chicago Bears vs. Los Angeles Rams Under 40
Chicago beat Los Angeles 15-6 when they met last December. The weather will be much warmer this time around, but both quarterbacks are playing significantly worse than they did in 2018. Mitchell Trubisky might be the NFL’s worst signal caller that began the season as the starter. The Bears have a bottom-five offense, but the defense is still among the five best. Goff has a worse passer rating than Trubisky. In six games against teams that rank better than 27th in scoring defense, the Rams are averaging 20.8 points per game.
Season Record: 26-19
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