NFL Christmas Games 2022: Picks Against The Spread, Score Predictions For Week 16 Sunday Schedule

The 2022 NFL Christmas Day games don't look nearly as intriguing as they did when the schedule was initially released. Aaron Rodgers and the defending Super Bowl champions are both underdogs and well out of the Week 16 playoff picture. Tom Brady could be taking on a third-string quarterback in Sunday's primetime game.

Here are picks against the spread and exact score predictions for all three Christmas games. Betting odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Green Bay Packers (+4.5) at Miami Dolphins

The Packers have generally not been very competitive against playoff contenders in 2022. Green Bay is 2-8 against teams that have a .500 record or better. One of those victories came against the New England Patriots' second and third-string quarterbacks. The other win required a 14-point, fourth-quarter comeback and overtime against the Dallas Cowboys.

The Dolphins are 5-0 at home when Tua Tagovailoa starts, winning by an average score of 25-14. Miami's far superior playmakers should be able to take over this game.

Prediction: Miami over Green Bay, 27-17

Denver Broncos (-1) at Los Angeles Rams

This version of the Rams is one of the few teams that should be home underdogs against the Broncos. Los Angeles has little home-field advantage. SoFi Stadium could be dominated by Denver fans. The Rams are out of contention and have no reason to rush Aaron Donald back for this game. The Broncos are in the midst of their best offensive stretch of the season, scoring at least 24 points in two straight games.

Two touchdowns could be more than enough for Denver to win on Christmas. The Kansas City Chiefs and their No. 1 ranked offense are the only team in the last eight games to score more than 17 points against the Broncos

Prediction: Denver over Los Angeles, 17-13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Buccaneers probably shouldn't be favored by 4.5 points on the road against anyone, even if Trace McSorley is the opponent's starting quarterback. The idea that Tampa Bay is any better than a mediocre team is long gone. The Bucs are 4-8 in their last 12 games, and their victories during that span have come by a total of just 15 points. Two of those wins were unlikely last-second comebacks.

McSorley completed four of five passes for 68 yards on a touchdown-drive late in the fourth quarter in Week 15. The backup could play better than expected after getting a full week of reps with Arizona's starters under his belt.

Prediction: Tampa Bay over Arizona, 20-17