NFL Week 10 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game

We’ve made it to Week 10, meaning every NFL team has reached the midway point of the season. Four teams are at least five games above .500, and all of them are favored by more than five points on the upcoming schedule. The two remaining one-win teams are getting a combined 13 points.

Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.

Carolina Panthers (+4) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Cam Newton is playing like he did in 2015 when he was the NFL MVP, while Ben Roethlisberger has been close to an average quarterback. Pittsburgh isn’t easy to beat at Heinz Field, but Carolina might actually be the better team, making the Panthers the right pick with the betting line north of a field goal.

Prediction ATS: Carolina

Detroit Lions (+6.5) at Chicago Bears

This is a tough divisional matchup that could still be up for grabs late in the fourth quarter. Detroit’s offensive line is much better than it showed last week when Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times. The Lions have a significant edge at quarterback, and that will make a difference if Stafford has time to throw the ball. Detroit hasn’t lost to Chicago by more than six points in seven years.

Prediction ATS: Detroit

Arizona Cardinals (+16.5) at Kansas City Chiefs

As dominant as Kansas City has been, you simply can’t lay this many points. Only one of the Chiefs’ eight victories has come by more than two scores. Kansas City’s defense remains below-average, and the Cardinals could find some success off a bye under new offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich.

Prediction ATS: Arizona

New England Patriots (-6.5) at Tennessee Titans

It’d be surprising to see the Titans beat the Patriots, but they’ve only been blown out once this season. That happened when Marcus Mariota was sacked 11 times, and that likely won’t happen Sunday since only two teams have fewer sacks than New England. Tennessee is 5-1 in their last six games against the spread at home.

Prediction ATS: Tennessee

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

After the Saints picked up the biggest win of the year and handed the Rams their first loss, they could be in for a bit of a letdown on the road. Cincinnati should be able to score plenty of points against a defense that’s allowing opposing quarterbacks to post a monster 120.7 passer rating. Andy Dalton has thrown nine touchdowns and one pick on the road. He has a chance to at least come close to matching Drew Brees, who has had his only two average performances away from the Superdome.

Prediction ATS: Cincinnati

Atlanta Falcons (-4.5) at Cleveland Browns

If the Falcons beat the Redskins by 24 points on the road, they can certainly win in Cleveland by at least a touchdown. There’s evidence that Atlanta’s injury-ravaged defense is coming together, at least somewhat, giving up 34 total points in the last two games. The Falcons have been terrific in the red zone since their Week 1 debacle, and the Browns are tied for 24th in red-zone defense.

Prediction ATS: Atlanta

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) Indianapolis Colts

Maybe both Jacksonville’s defense and Blake Bortles can bounce back after a bye. Bortles has 12 career touchdowns and three interceptions against the Colts, and Indianapolis has only performed well against the pass in recent weeks when facing the Bills. In a divisional matchup between two mediocre teams, taking the points is probably the best option. The Jaguars have covered the spread in their last five games against the Colts.

Prediction ATS: Jacksonville

Washington Redskins (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Washington doesn’t exactly have the type of offense that can take advantage of an awful pass defense, and they’ve been hurt badly by injuries on the offensive line. Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to give the Buccaneers one of the league’s most high-powered offenses. The Redskins were blown out by the Saints and Falcons when facing their explosive passing attacks, and Sunday could be more of the same for Washington.

Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay

Buffalo Bills (+7) at New York Jets

The betting line actually went down a half-point with the news that Josh McCown would start over Sam Darnold because of a foot injury. That doesn’t make a ton of sense since McCown might be the better quarterback at the moment. If Nathan Peterman is under center for Buffalo and they aren’t getting more than a touchdown, New York is the only play.

Prediction ATS: New York

Los Angeles Chargers (-10) at Oakland Raiders

Oakland is the biggest mess in the NFL. They seemingly gave up last week and will now play the team that ranks first in net yards per play. The Raiders were beaten 26-10 when the teams met a few weeks ago, and Sunday’s game could be even more one-sided.

Prediction ATS: Los Angeles

Miami Dolphins (+10) at Green Bay Packers

If Brock Osweiler is getting another start—and it sounds like he will—this game shouldn’t be close. The quarterback is proving why he lost his last full-time starting job to Tom Savage with 380 passing yards and no touchdowns in his last two games. Aaron Rodgers should pick apart Miami’s defense and cruise to a victory after two tough road losses to the Rams and Patriots.

Prediction ATS: Green Bay

Seattle Seahawks (+10) at Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have real trouble stopping the pass. L.A. is 25th in opponents’ passer rating, and that’s even after holding Derek Carr and Sam Bradford to no touchdowns and four interceptions in the first two games. Seattle nearly beat Los Angeles at home a few weeks ago, and they’ll put up a fight in the rematch.

Prediction ATS: Seattle

Dallas Cowboys (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The Cowboys are 0-4 on the road, scoring no more than 17 points in any of those contests. Philadelphia has a significant coaching edge against Dallas, and now the Eagles will be coming off a bye while Dallas is playing on a short week. All signs point to a big win for Philadelphia that could give them a share of first place in the NFC East.

Prediction ATS: Philadelphia

New York Giants (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

Maybe the 49ers have a serviceable quarterback in Nick Mullens. Maybe they don’t. The Giants definitely don’t have a serviceable offense with a unit that can’t protect Eli Manning or score touchdowns in the red zone. Having a couple of dynamic playmakers didn’t make a difference for New York in the first half of the season. Why would that change in Week 10?

Prediction ATS: San Francisco

Season Record: 61-68-5

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