NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread 2021: Predictions ATS, Betting Odds, Matchups

The Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys own the best records against the spread through the first half of the 2021 NFL season. The Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Football Team and New York Jets have covered the betting line at the lowest rate.

Here are picks against the spread for every game in Week 11, as well as updated betting odds. Betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

New England Patriots (-7) at Atlanta Falcons

New England isn’t as good as its 45-7 win over Cleveland would suggest, and Atlanta is certainly better than it showed in the Falcons’ 43-3 loss in Dallas. The Patriots were four-point favorites prior to those Week 10 results, and that’s probably where the betting line should be for this Thursday night game. Matt Ryan had 13 touchdowns and three interceptions from Weeks 3-9.

Prediction ATS: Atlanta

New Orleans Saints (+1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

New Orleans covered a 2.5-point spread as an underdog in Tennessee last week. The Titans are better than the Eagles, who haven’t beaten a team that enters Week 11 with a record above .500. Philadelphia relies on its rushing attack, which could be stifled by the Saints’ top-ranked run defense.

Prediction ATS: New Orleans

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Minnesota Vikings

The Packers just keep winning, week after week. Since getting blown out in the season opener, Green Bay has gone 8-0 with Aaron Rodgers under center. Only two teams have given up fewer yards per play than the Packers. Kirk Cousins and the Vikings typically come up short in important matchups like this one.

Prediction ATS: Green Bay

Washington Football Team (+3.5) at Carolina Panthers

It’s hard to know what to expect from Cam Newton in his first start of the year. The Patriots scored 13 points per game in Newton’s last four games of 2020. Ron Rivera coached Newton for a decade and knows how to defend the quarterback. In what should be a close, low-scoring game, the point spread shouldn’t be more than a field goal.

Prediction ATS: Washington

Indianapolis Colts (+7.5) at Buffalo Bills

Since starting the season 0-3, the Colts haven’t been beaten in regulation. The Bills have taken advantage of an easy schedule, going 1-2 against teams that are above .500. Buffalo beat Indianapolis by a field goal in a game that went down to the wire in last season’s playoffs.

Prediction ATS: Indianapolis

Detroit Lions (+10) at Cleveland Browns

Cleveland’s defense is much better than it looked in Week 10, especially against offenses that aren’t particularly good. The Browns held the Bears, Broncos and Steelers to fewer than 16 points each. Detroit has gone eight straight games without hitting the 20-point mark. Before facing the Steelers without Ben Roethlisberger, the Lions had been outscored 106-36 in their last three games.

Prediction ATS: Cleveland

San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The 49ers shouldn’t be favored by a touchdown in an East Coast road game that starts at 1 p.m. EST. Jacksonville has been more competitive of late, winning two of their last four games and losing in Indianapolis by six points. The Jaguars give up just 3.9 yards per carry, potentially allowing them to slow down San Francisco’s running game.

Prediction ATS: Jacksonville

Miami Dolphins (-3) at New York Jets

Miami’s defense is finally playing up to expectations, allowing 19 total points during the team’s two-game winning streak. There’s no reason to have any confidence in Zach Wilson as he returns to the Jets’ lineup. The Dolphins have six wins against the Jets in their last seven meetings.

Prediction ATS: Miami

Baltimore Ravens (-6) at Chicago Bears

Justin Fields is finally starting to look like the quarterback Chicago hoped it had drafted. After completing 70.4% of his passes and rushing for 103 yards in Week 8, Fields threw for a career-high 291 yards on 10 yards per attempt in Week 9. The Ravens have lost three straight games against the spread.

Prediction ATS: Chicago

Houston Texans (+10.5) at Tennessee Titans

Tennessee could have trouble winning by more than 10 points as the team deals with a historic amount of injuries. Derrick Henry and Julio Jones won’t play. Coming off a bye, the Texans will give the Titans their best shot.

Prediction ATS: Houston

Cincinnati Bengals (-1) at Las Vegas Raiders

The Bengals and Raiders are both coming off blowout losses. Which team has a better chance to turn things around? It might be Cincinnati, given its offensive playmakers. The loss of Henry Ruggs has been a clear issue for Las Vegas.

Prediction ATS: Cincinnati

Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks

There’s a good chance Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins will be out for a third straight game. With a bye coming up in Week 12 and a one-game lead in the NFC West, the Cardinals might be smart to sit their two most important players for another week. Russell Wilson should be much better after looking incredibly rusty in his return.

Prediction ATS: Seattle

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) at Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs still have some issues, despite their three-game winning streak. None of those victories came over a team with a scoring offense that ranks in the top half of the league. Dallas leads the NFL in yards and points. Dak Prescott has been better than Patrick Mahomes this season, already picking up big wins in New England and Los Angeles.

Prediction ATS: Dallas

Pittsburgh Steelers (+6) at Los Angeles Chargers

The Steelers could be without a few key players due to injuries and COVID-19, but Pittsburgh will likely play another close game. The Steelers have played five straight games decided by one score. Justin Herbert has posted a below-average passer rating in two straight games.

Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh

New York Giants (+11) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Giants challenged the Bucs a season ago when they lost to Tampa Bay 25-23 on “Monday Night Football.” A banged-up New York offense was able to get healthier during its bye week before taking on a Tampa Bay defense that is still dealing with key injuries in the secondary. The Giants have a chance to keep this within single digits, just as they did in Kansas City in primetime a few weeks ago.

Prediction ATS: New York

Season Record: 69-78-3