Shell eyes return to growth as reserves jump
Royal Dutch Shell Plc
Earlier on Tuesday, Australia's Arrow Energy Ltd
Shell's London-listed A shares were up 1.4 percent at 0936 GMT, outperforming a 0.75 percent rise in the STOXX Europe 600 Oil and Gas index <.SXEP>.
It's a very strong message, one analyst said, adding the output target was above his forecast.
The company previously said it expected production to be flat in 2010 before new projects ramp up in 2011 and 2012.
We are moving into a delivery window across the next five years, and beyond that, we have a tremendous opportunity set for the 2015-2020 timeframe, chief executive Peter Voser said.
Italian rival Eni
In its annual strategy statement, Shell also predicted rising production beyond 2012, underpinned by a new focus on exploration.
Voser said high-cost, infrastructure-led projects, such as Shell's $18-19 billion gas-to-liquids plant in Qatar and multi-billion dollar oil sands projects in Canada, would in future only supplement the exploration effort.
Shell's production strategy has been built around such large, technology-driven projects in recent years.
Nonetheless, Shell said it will have to spend $25-$30 billion/year out to 2014 to achieve its growth -- the largest capital investment or capex program in the industry.
RESERVES REPLACEMENT SUCCESS
The company said that last year it added new reserves equivalent to almost three times the amount of oil and gas it pumped.
Its reserves replacement rate of 288 percent compares with levels of 133 percent at industry leader Exxon Mobil
It is also a turnaround from the 98 percent Shell achieved in 2008 and the 17 percent recorded in 2007.
This was the best year for exploration in a decade, the company said.
Shell's focus on building production will also see it reduce its downstream footprint.
The company said it planned to exit 35 percent of its retail markets, and repeated plans to sell 15 percent of its world-wide refining portfolio.
(Additional reporting by Rosalba O'Brien; Editing by David Holmes, Mike Nesbit)
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