Jim Davenport's alarm clock rings at 2:45 am every morning. That's when he climbs out of bed for the day's first milking of his 64 cows.

It's not the long hours that scares this longtime dairy farmer, it's the string of lean years that has him weighing whether to just pack it in.

If things aren't any better at the end this year than they were last year, Davenport promised himself "it's time to consider."

After a string of lean years, Jim Davenport, seen at his farm in Ancramdale, New York, is weighing whether to just pack it in
After a string of lean years, Jim Davenport, seen at his farm in Ancramdale, New York, is weighing whether to just pack it in AFP / Angela Weiss

"That's the first time I've ever said that, but that was my New Year's resolution," he says, standing in his barn in Ancramdale, a hamlet about two hours north of New York City.

On a windy and glacially cold January day, his milk cows -- Holsteins and Ayrshires -- stay inside the barn. They calmly chew their constantly replenished feed or lounge next to the 20 cats who keep the rodent population under control.

Heavily bundled up and sporting a green baseball cap branded with the logo of his dairy cooperative, Davenport walks from one animal to another, calling them by name and occasionally mentioning their birthdays. The mustachioed farmer with cheerful eyes will tend later to his calves and heifers, housed in outdoor sheds.

At almost 60 years old, Davenport could see himself working another 20 years -- he loves his work and the idea of feeding people.

The number of dairy farms in the US, such as Jim Davenport's which is seen here, has dropped 20 percent over five years
The number of dairy farms in the US, such as Jim Davenport's which is seen here, has dropped 20 percent over five years AFP / Angela Weiss

"But I'd like to at least make some money doing it, or at least come out of it debt free," he says.

He rents his farm, where he lives with his wife -- a retired teacher -- and where they raised their two daughters.

Between genetic and nutritional advancements, cows produce twice as much milk as they did in 1980
Between genetic and nutritional advancements, cows produce twice as much milk as they did in 1980 AFP / Angela Weiss

After an exceptional year in 2014, the price of milk plummeted, not really picking up again until the end of 2019.

The main problem, according to Davenport, is that Americans are "very efficient at making milk."

Between genetic and nutritional advancements, cows produce twice as much milk as they did in 1980. The consumption of dairy products has gradually increased every year, but overproduction is a chronic issue.

Jim Davenport rents his farm, where he lives with his wife -- a retired teacher -- and where they raised their two daughters
Jim Davenport rents his farm, where he lives with his wife -- a retired teacher -- and where they raised their two daughters AFP / Angela Weiss

The costs of food production -- in fuel, in labor -- do not stop increasing. Davenport is particularly worried about a new state law that requires him to pay workers overtime if they work more than 60 hours a week.

At the end of the day, "it's the last man standing," said Davenport, without bitterness. The larger farms have more chance of success, while the smaller ones will suffer.

The reasons may vary -- in too much debt, or at retirement age with no successor, or because the land is worth more than it can yield as a farm -- many farmers have thrown in the towel.

The number of dairy farms in the US dropped 20 percent over five years, ending up at 37,468 at the end of 2018.

"In my town here in 1987, there were 27 producing dairy farms," Davenport said. "Now there are three."

The small rebound in milk prices at the end of 2019 has allowed for a little hope, but the situation is still tenuous.

If Davenport makes it through, it will be due to the quality of his milk, for which he has won numerous awards.

Everything comes down to cleanliness, he said. In the stable, the cow dung is regularly removed with a scraper. At milking time, the cows' teats are carefully disinfected and then cleaned before they are hooked up to the milking machines.

The farmer receives a quality premium from Agri-Mark, the company to which he sells most of his products.

He also sells milk, yogurts and cream -- at a slightly elevated price -- under the brand name Hudson Valley Fresh, which he started with 10 other farmers in the region, to high-end stores in New York or to coffee shops that want to know their suppliers.

Involved in local life, Davenport admits that he is not the best manager. But the goal, he said is to be "financially successful enough to cut back on the hours."

"I originally said I'd like to be down to 60 hours a week when I was 60. That's not going to happen," he said.

"So now I'm shooting for down to 70 hours a week by the time I'm 70."