NFL Week 11 Picks 2021: Best Over/Under Bets, Predictions For Sunday Schedule

The 2021 NFL season has featured more low-scoring games than expected. Fifty-six percent of games have gone under the betting total. Ten teams are averaging 20 points or fewer per game.

Here are the five best over/under bets for Week 11. Betting odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills Under 50.5

The Colts only have an average offense, despite facing a relatively weak schedule in terms of opposing defenses. Indianapolis totaled fewer than 300 yards against the only top-10 defense it’s faced, thus far. Buffalo has the NFL’s top-ranked defense, and a healthy Tennessee team is the only unit that had any real success against the Bills. As long as Buffalo doesn’t score more than 30 points, which only one Indianapolis opponent has done in regulation, the score should go under the total.

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans Under 44.5

In both games without Derrick Henry, Tennessee has amassed fewer than 200 yards of total offense. Now that Julio Jones is also hurt, the Titans’ offense isn’t particularly good. Fortunately for Tennessee, Houston’s offense is even worse. The Texans have been held to single digits in four of their last six games. Tennessee has surrendered 17.8 points per game over the last four weeks, despite facing two of the league’s top-six offenses.

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs Under 56

This total is so high that it’s worth taking the under. Four of Kansas City’s last five games have gone under, and Dallas is on a three-game streak of unders. The Chiefs’ offense isn’t completely back on track because of one impressive showing in Las Vegas. Kansas City last gave up more than 27 points in Week 5. Since Week 2, Dallas has allowed just one opponent to score 30 points.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Under 48

DeAndre Hopkins still isn’t practicing after missing two games with a hamstring injury. Both Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy have been taking reps in practice, but there’s a decent chance Arizona will give their star quarterback one more game of rest before a bye in Week 12 to make sure he’s completely healthy for the stretch run. Russell Wilson was rusty, to say the least, as the Seahawks were shut out in his return. Arizona and Seattle have top-nine scoring defenses.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers Under 47

Only five of Pittsburgh and Los Angeles’ combined 18 games have gone over the total. The Steelers play a low-scoring game virtually every week with only one of their contests featuring more than 46 points. Pittsburgh ranks 26th in scoring and 27th in yards per play. The Chargers have gone a month without scoring more than 27 points, and the Steelers haven’t allowed any opponent to score more than 27 points all year.