FOREX

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Forex Playbook: March 28-03 - Currency Pairs of Interest This Week EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

Despite new highs on the Dow and S&P 500, risk aversion dominated the Forex marketplace last week. The US dollar pushed ever higher against its major counterparts, as growing concerns over the Greek debt crisis and a credit downgrade for Portugal weighed on investors. In the current quarter, the euro has slipped 6.8 percent against the dollar - the largest quarterly decline since 2008 - reflecting a general preference in the marketplace for the perceived safety of US assets.

EUR/USD bullish ???

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Did you also keep your breath during the last days and thinking: „How far will EURUSD further fall? I can quieten you - thanks to the common solution of the EU for Greece there was some climbing up of the crosspair. Also if that were only 30 pips compared with the last high of Thursday, but anyhow. How is it going on? Should the course further win, I could expect chances into the direction of 1.3520, 1.3570 or 1.3680 as shortterm targets.

Daily Forecast - 29/3/2010

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The Aussie dollar finished the week near its lows at 0.9030 after dropping to the psychological 90 cent level during Friday's offshore trade.
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Greece Bond Issue Planned for Next Week

The Financial Times is reporting that Greece plans to put the EU solution to the test with a 5 billion euros ($6.7 billion) bond issue next week. In an interview with the Financial Times, Petros Christodoulou, who heads the public debt management agency, stated that he would like to return to the bond markets next week to begin financing his country's debt. Greece will issue either a three- or seven-year bond, which will be followed by a second issue of similar size in April.
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Daily Forecast - 25/3/2010

Despite several attempts to recapture the 92 cent level in Asia yesterday the Aussie dollar retreated and opens this morning back below 91 cents on technical support at 0.9080.
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Forex - EU's Barroso presses euro zone over Greece

BRUSSELS, March 24 (Reuters) - European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso made a new call on Wednesday for countries using the euro to create a safety net to help Greece if it needs financial assistance.
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Daily Forecast - 24/3/2010

The Aussie dollar continued to pull back in early offshore trade weighed down by persistent selling in EUR/USD to eventually find a bottom around 0.9135 against the Greenback.
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Forex - Merkel, EU partners in tug-of-war over Greek aid

* Merkel says no need for EU summit to discuss Greek aid * Greek PM says EU needs mechanism to deter speculators * Juncker sees possible twin-track euro zone/IMF support * Trichet says any help would have to be conditional loan * Euro falls, Greek risk premium leaps amid uncertainty
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Greek Debt and EU Indecision: The Case for Shorting the Euro

Fueled by growing concern over the Greek debt crisis, the euro is positioned for a severe clobbering at the hands of its safe haven counterparts. The US dollar, Japanese yen and Swiss franc should enjoy disproportionately favorable gains against the euro in the coming weeks of trading or until a meaningful resolution to the debt crisis can be found.
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Daily Forecast - 22/3/2010

With a severe lack of confidence that a Greek rescue package would eventuate commodities, in particular gold, were sold off aggressively during Friday's offshore session.
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FOREX-Euro falls vs dollar as Greek worries linger

The euro fell on Friday over doubts Greece would win euro-zone aid, capping its worst week since January, and concerns about the UK economy hit sterling. A report on Thursday that Greece saw limited prospects for euro-zone assistance raised concerns about the country's ability to service its debt. On Friday, the euro fell as far as $1.3502, its lowest level in more than two weeks. It was down 1.7 percent this week, its worst showing since late January.
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Daily Forecast - 19/3/2010

The Australian Dollar opens marginally lower today at 0.9204 and spent most of yesterday's local session consolidating around the US92 cent mark.
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Daily Forecast - 18/3/2010

The Australian Dollar opens higher today at 0.9220. In the absence of any local economic data yesterday, traders were content to play the ranges and the currency was quickly sold when it attempted to dip its toe in the water at US92 cents.
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Daily Forecast - 15/3/2010

The Australian Dollar opens higher at 0.9180 as the greenback and Yen weakened on Friday night and markets move back into currencies linked to economic growth.
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Daily Forecast - 11/3/2010

Yesterday's announcement of a steep decline in housing finance caught the market by surprise somewhat triggering a drop in the Aussie dollar to an intraday low of 0.9130.
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Daily Forecast - 10/3/2010

Positive Australian economic data keeps on rolling in with yesterdays better than expected NAB Business Confidence and the ANZ Job advertisements surveys adding some support to the Aussie dollar.
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FOREX-Yen gains broadly on risk aversion; dollar higher

The yen gained across the board on Tuesday as most world equity markets fell, illustrating a rise in risk aversion as investors moved into the low-yielding Japanese currency. Appetite for risk had been boosted by Friday's better-than- expected U.S. employment report, pushing the yen down to two-week lows versus the euro and the dollar.
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Daily Forecast - 9/3/2010

The Aussie dollar began the week on a positive note rising in Asia amidst optimism of a global economic recovery and speculation Greece will be supported financially by other European nations.
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Daily Forecast -8/3/2010

The Australian Dollar has managed to hang onto its recent gains and opens the new week at 0.9060.
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FOREX-Dollar rises vs yen as US jobs data boosts optimism

The dollar soared against the yen on Friday after a government report showed U.S. employers cut fewer jobs than expected last month, boosting hopes a U.S. economic recovery was on track. The renewed optimism also encouraged investors to buy stocks and high-yield currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars, while the euro rose as concern about Greece's debt crisis ebbed after Thursday's successful debt auction.
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US gold rises on oil rally after jobs report

New York gold futures rose on Friday, boosted by an oil rally and as the dollar cut initial gains following February's U.S. non-farm payrolls report.* For the latest detailed report.
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Daily Forecast - 5/3/2010

A much larger than forecast narrowing in Australia's trade deficit added some support to the Aussie dollar in local trade yesterday however resistance above 0.9050 saw it slide lower in afternoon exchange.
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Daily Forecast - 4/3/2010

The Australian Dollar opens higher today at 0.9045. The unit was bolstered during yesterday's domestic session hitting an intraday high of 0.9060 after fourth-quarter national accounts revealed a 0.9 per cent increase in economic growth for an annualised pace of 2.7 per cent.
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Euro rises vs dollar after Greek austerity plans

The euro rose against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday after the Greek government endorsed a 4.8 billion euro austerity package, boosting hopes the heavily indebted country would get help from the European Union. The euro gained roughly half a U.S. cent after a government source told Reuters the Greek cabinet decided on the plan, which included a rise in value added tax to 21 percent and a cut in public sector salary bonuses by 30 percent.
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Greece steps help euro, push debt premium down

The euro rose against the dollar and Greek borrowing costs fell to their lowest level since mid-February as Greece's cabinet approved new steps to fight a budget deficit, seen as key to secure EU fiscal support. European shares, however, were flat as traders said most of the news had been priced in and ahead of U.S. jobs data, though world stocks gained, on track to gain for the fourth consecutive day and near their five-week high.
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Daily Forecast - 3/3/2010

The strength of the Australian economy was evident once again yesterday following the release of a much stronger than forecast 1.2% rise in Retail Sales during January adding some support to the AUD/USD in early Asian trade.
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FOREX-Euro rebounds on Greek hopes; Canada dollar rises

The euro rebounded from a 9-1/2-month low against the dollar on Tuesday as investors awaited new plans to address Greece's debt crisis and held out hope for some form of help from the European Union. Earlier, the euro dropped as low as $1.3435, its lowest since May 2009, after Greece's biggest public union called for a 24-hour strike on March 16 to protest expected austerity measures from Athens. For more please [ID:nATH005239].
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RPT-Q+A-Can the BOJ beat deflation and what does the govt want?

The Bank of Japan remains under steady government pressure to loosen monetary policy further, even as the central bank's ammunition to beat deflation dries up. While the government has not openly said what exactly it wants the BOJ to do, it is relying on it to act in the event of a sharp rise in the yen or in bond yields that could threaten a fragile economic recovery.
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Daily Forecast - 2/3/2010

The Aussie dollar rallied in early Asia yesterday before running into some resistance around the 90 cent handle to settle at 0.8975 heading into offshore trade.

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